Sunday, December 18, 2011

Is an Iranian Nuke Inevitable?

Charles Adler and Gregory Jones of the Nonproliferation Policy Education Center discuss the apparent inevitability of a functioning Iranian nuclear weapon.

Many thanks to Vlad Tepes for uploading this video:


Anonymous said...

An "Iranian nuke"--in the sense of a weapon that is built in Iran using mostly Iranian resources--is probably not inevitable. But it is almost certainly irrelevant.

Recent developments in China suggest that the Communist Party is reaching the limits of control they can continue to impose on the people of China without resorting to a significant external war as justification for cracking down on internal protest and as a "safety valve" to bleed off demographic pressures (the hundred million extra males being representative but by no means the only difficulty).

This is apparently the cause of Beijing permitting some extremely inflammatory rhetoric about how far China will go to defend Iran's right to develop a nuclear weapon (it is also apparent that gaining control of recently discovered rare-earth deposits in north-eastern Afghanistan would be a significant advance in the plan to economically undermine the technologically advanced economies of the West). China may be angling for a justification to move their land forces into position to "support" Iran while "liberating" Afghanistan from "Western occupation" (and incidentally, from all other non-Chinese human life).

If they do this, it will hardly matter whether the Iranians build a nuke or not.

Chiu Chun-Ling.