Thursday, March 02, 2006

Barking Dogs

El Jefe Maximo hears the not-so-distant baying of the dogs of war:

We are at a very, very dangerous place, just now. If the Iranians are foolish, they will take our President’s sinking poll numbers, and our happy UN talk, much too much to heart. They may be fooled into thinking they have a free hand, and assume the edge of acceptable behavior is further away than it is. We are already teetering on the abyss. It is easy to forget how much power a President has over the decision to resort to arms. If the Iranians underestimate this President, there is a strong probability that a lot of people are going to wind up very dead.

Similarly, the Iranians may assume too much tolerance by Israel and its caretaker Prime Minister. The Israelis have been stirring, saying just this week that they will not wait forever for a solution to the Iranian nuclear issue.

Fundamentally, I am worried by this, apparently, yokel of an Iranian president, who really seems to believe in the imminent appearance of the Twelfth Imam, and talks glibly about wiping countries off the map. Does he know where the red line is; how far the bluster can safely go ? Do those around him ? No question, the present script looks like a war-breeder.

He includes a lot of military analysis of the situation. Go and read the whole thing.


Freedom Fighter said...

I found this interesting and likewise gave it a link.Good job, El Jefe!

I have to politely disagree in a few respects. And I have what I think ae some answers to some of the questions El Jefe raised...

First, Ahmadinejad is far from a yokel, and has calculated things very nicely, or so it seems.
I wouldn't underestimate him, or Iran.

First of all, let's remember that Ahmadinejad is a hired hand, who takes his orders from Khamani and the Council of Guardians anyway..but that said, let's look at what has been accomplished by Iran so far..

J O S H U A P U N D I T: True fiction: the US. the UN and Iran