Thursday, April 29, 2010

The Rumble is Beginning

A Lebanese correspondent for Tundra Tabloids has filed a report that discusses the imminence of a war between Hizbullah and Israel, as well as a possible civil war between an alliance of Christian groups and Hizbullah within Lebanon:

Below are some excerpts from the report by “The Patron of Beirut”:

The situation in Lebanon so far doesn’t look so good. There is tension in the air due to the municipality elections taking place next Sunday. There is a threat for the Christians in the region, if a war breaks out between Hizbollah and Israel, the Shiia, the Hizbollah will take over the Christian areas in Beirut and in the South.

I have received messages from two sources with close contacts with the Christian parties, the Christian military forces there, that they are preparing for a war between them, (if Hizbollah starts a war with Israel) if Hizbollah starts to act against the Christian forces in the area, if they try to take over the mountain areas overlooking Beirut. They’re saying that Hizbollah will start the war by doing some kind of military operation in the south.

So Hizbollah will start some initiative on the border with Israel, and at the same time it will take a form of a civil war between the Muslims and the Christians, between the Shiia and the Maronites. According to my well placed sources, regarding certain Christian groups aligned with Hizbollah, (former general Michel Aoun’s ‘Free Patriotic Movement’), there won’t be any infighting between the different Christian groups, regardless of the past, even though that they have been aligned politically for some time now, between the head of army and Nasrallah.
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So there won’t be any bi-lateral Christian-Muslim front against other Christians, it just won’t happen. Only the Lebanese forces (Christian) are well prepared with arms, they are well prepared for the upcoming war (with Hizbollah). They want to take over certain areas, on the high hills overlooking Beirut if the actions starts, because they want to use these areas against the F-16’s (Israeli warplanes), they are very tall mountains about 1.6 kilometers above the sea.

There is evidence that the Hizbollah will want to be in charge of the Christian areas (mountain range overlooking Beirut) if such a war happens between Hizbollah and Israel on the border. I know of Christians living in the diaspora who have been warned by politicians through personal contacts that it’s not wise to come to the south of Lebanon for the summer. I even believe that the embassies are starting to warn Lebanese citizens abroad not to come to Lebanon this summer, not officially, but quietly between private exchanges not to make the trip at this time.

The other big issue has been the buying of Christian land by Hizbollah which will devolve into taking of land once Hizbollah start something on the border with Israel, this is what will happen, what is expected to happen once things start.

Read the rest at Tundra Tabloids.

It looks like events are heading for a flashpoint in the Levant. Several of my Israeli contacts tell me that people in Israel don’t expect to get through another year without a devastating war.

If such a thing should happen, they will not be able to count on American diplomatic and technical support, as they have in the past. In fact, the regime of Barack Hussein Obama may actively work against them.


Zenster said...

According to my well placed sources, regarding certain Christian groups aligned with Hizbollah, (former general Michel Aoun’s ‘Free Patriotic Movement’), there won’t be any infighting between the different Christian groups, regardless of the past, even though that they have been aligned politically for some time now, between the head of army and Nasrallah. [emphasis added]

The most important question remains: Why is Sayyid Hassan Nasrallah still stealing oxygen from more deserving lifeforms like scorpions, lice and cockroaches? Israel should have given him a .50 caliber third eye years ago. Preferably, right in the middle of him delivering a speech before thousands of his fellow terrorists.

Second, any "Christian groups aligned with Hizbollah" have to be beyond stupid. The Shiites have their destruction on the list right after Israel's. How is it possible for Islam's history of eradicating other regional cultures to have escaped their notice? I can only assume that some variant of the Blood Libel has been fed to them by their Muslim counterparts.

Anonymous said...

I don't get why Israel needs American support though. It's not like Lebanon is such a great military threat. I think that even my country alone could completely destroy the Lebanese armed forces. lol. I don't get why Europeans and Americans sell planes, ships and so on to these countries though or give them any type of aid.

Yorkshireminer said...

The West is in a bind, 40% of the worlds oil passes through the straits of Homus. The Iranians have just show cased a fast motor boat that can be fitted with the new Russian torpedo that can travel at 300 mph under water. It is just a matter of cranking them out. America will not be able to patrol the Straits as entering them would be fatal there would be no defense with several coming at you. America has been cheaply and asymmetrically check mated.

I leave it too the readers to imagine what would happen too the world economy if 40% of the worlds oil was taken off the markets for several months if not years by the closing of the straits. In the oil crisis of the 70s which I remember very well only 4% of the oil came off the market and prices went up 400%.

I might not like Obama but I do not see what he can do, but try and keep the peace as long as possible, and prepare for the worst. He has speeded up the delivery of the super bunker busters, too the Island of Dia Garcia in the Indian ocean and transferred the delivery of the $400 million bunker busters that should have gone too Israel. America is preparing itself for war, and keeping the Israelis on a short leash. America has certainly not denied Israel any form of defensive weapons, The super radar system in the Negev and the development of the arrow ballistic defense system is still moving along nicely. America is just not supplying Israel with weapons of aggression.

Israel certainly understands that the situation is existential and are most likely chaffing at the bit. Preemptive attacks always give the best results. The six day war was started by a preemptive attack by the Israelis. The results were devastating for Egypt. The Yom Kippur, war was started by a preemptive attack by the Arabs and was almost fatal for Israel. From what I remember reading after that war was that at one point Golda Meir had Israels atomic bombs deployed ready for use. America spent several frantic days stripping there own units to supply material the Israelis had lost. I do not think that these two thing are unrelated. This time Israel does not have any strategic depth as it had with the Sinai during the Yom Kippur war, a preemptive strike could be devastating for it.

I am certain that they have learned the lessons of the last war in the Lebanon and are well prepared, they would be fools not to be. It must be frustrating for them to watch the build up in Lebanon, which anybody with a smidgen of intelligence knows is going to lead too war a war solely for the benefit of the Iranians because it will divert the attention of the world while they race to complete there atomic bomb and its delivery system.