Friday, April 21, 2006

What Is Iran Going to Do with George Bush?

“Wait him out,” according to an opinion piece in the Telegraph. And the author, Amir Taheri, is quite specific about the steps Iran will take to maneuver around the (insert favorite appellation here) current President.

First, the current advantages of Islam over the infidel:

  • Islam has the demographic advantage in its available numbers of young men ready to do battle.
  • Lots of them can’t wait to be martyrs for the cause while the infidels’ young men simply want to have fun.
  • Islam has most of the world’s oil reserves.
  • the only country capable of standing up to Islamofacism is the U.S., and it is the most hated nation on earth (if you don’t count the Zionist entity).

However, according to Hassan Abasssi, supposedly Iran’s Dr. Kissinger, George Bush is an aberration since every President since Truman has cut and run when the rubber hit the road.

Therefore all Iran has to do is wait him out. 2008 just isn’t that far away.

Meanwhile, of course, that gives the mullahs the time they need to continue developing its nuclear arsenal. By 2008, when America reverts to its more normal ostrich policies, Iran will be ready to ride.

Here’s the author’s predictions for the short term:

The Iranian plan is simple: playing the diplomatic game for another two years until Bush becomes a “lame-duck”, unable to take military action against the mullahs, while continuing to develop nuclear weapons.

Within 12 days, Iran will announce its “suspension” of uranium building, which will win accolades from the idiots on Turtle Bay. Everyone from Jack Straw to the IAEA will pat Iran on the back. “Talk to the hand” will be the response to anyone uncouth enough to discuss sanctions against such obvious Iranian sincerity. This, in turn, will head off any move against Iran at the G-8 summit in July. And thrown in for good measure, the Iranian parliament will sign off on some taqiyya promise or other to stop production of anything even resembling radioactive materials.

Those are short-term goals and easily verifiable.

Meanwhile, says Taheri, Iran will continue to consolidate an impressive base of allies:

While waiting Bush out, the Islamic Republic is intent on doing all it can to consolidate its gains in the region. Regime changes in Kabul and Baghdad have altered the status quo in the Middle East. While Bush is determined to create a Middle East that is democratic and pro-Western, Ahmadinejad is equally determined that the region should remain Islamic but pro-Iranian. Iran is now the strongest presence in Afghanistan and Iraq, after the US. It has turned Syria and Lebanon into its outer defences, which means that, for the first time since the 7th century, Iran is militarily present on the coast of the Mediterranean. In a massive political jamboree in Teheran last week, Ahmadinejad also assumed control of the “Jerusalem Cause”, which includes annihilating Israel “in one storm”, while launching a take-over bid for the cash-starved Hamas government in the West Bank and Gaza.

Ahmadinejad has also reactivated Iran’s network of Shia organisations in Bahrain, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Pakistan and Yemen, while resuming contact with Sunni fundamentalist groups in Turkey, Egypt, Algeria and Morocco. From childhood, Shia boys are told to cultivate two qualities. The first is entezar, the capacity patiently to wait for the Imam to return. The second istaajil, the actions needed to hasten the return. For the Imam’s return will coincide with an apocalyptic battle between the forces of evil and righteousness, with evil ultimately routed. If the infidel loses its nuclear advantage, it could be worn down in a long, low-intensity war at the end of which surrender to Islam would appear the least bad of options…[emphases added]

All they need to do is wait for George Bush to go away. It’s just a matter of time.

Hat tip: M. Rudkin


Pax Federatica said...

All they need to do is wait for George Bush to go away. It’s just a matter of time.

"Or so they believe" really should have been appended to that statement. If the GOP keeps the White House, or even if Hilary wins it, methinks Tehran might be in for a rude awakening.

Fellow Peacekeeper said...

George Bush ir our great white hope?

Jeez, then we really are all f***ed.

But seriously, the game of brinksmanship the Iranians have played has been really quite proficient. They have played a poor hand rather well, as opposed to the US who have succeeded in giving away many trumps for little gain. The same can be said for Sudan and North Korea, so far their outright duplicitous and maddog foreign policies respectively have worked like a charm, while the US squabbles with its real long term allies in Europe.

bordergal said...

Has anyone discussed the possibility of an EMP attack on Iran?

Oengus said...

I am not optimistic.

If he's going to go that route, the Prez had better play very hardball diplomacy. For example, one step would be to threaten to pull out from and completely defund the UN unless it imposes serious and effective sanctions against Iran. Otherwise, what good is it? It's just another feckless "League of Nations", good for nothing.

But, alas, anything of the sort is very unlikely to happen. Instead, Ahmadinejad will continue to bully and to bluff, and the Loony Mullahs will finally get their knukes…lots of knukes with the means to deliver them, whether by missile or by "martyr".

When that happens, the world will be a whole new ball game. Feel sorry for your children.

geoffgo said...

RE: Iran's splodeydopes

40,000-55,000 ready to be martyrs

If the Iranians have infiltrated the US (and Iraq & Afganistan) with homicide bombers, I would suggest this is provocation and a reasonable justification to use nukes. That's what they are for.

I'm beginning to believe we need to up-the-stakes in the process of "brinksmanship", like telling the mullahs they need to give inspectors full access to their programs, by say May 15th. And allow destruction of all the components involved in illicit enrichment. Otherwise, we will level Teheran on July 1, 2006.

And, any suicide bombings of US or allied interests will cause another Iranian city to disappear, without warning.

What, we're gonna sit back and allow suicide bombings by these delusional Islamokazis?

Ray said...

It doesn't matter much anyway. The powers that be are ramping up their islamojudaiofascist political rhetoric because they know that their time of power is almost up. Just wait all the BS out and see what happens on or about December 21st, 2012 (when the world will change forever...). That's what I'm waiting for.