Wednesday, November 28, 2007

The Danish Civil War

It is my pleasure to introduce a new Gates of Vienna correspondent, a Briton who prefers to go by the name of “El Inglés”.

The speculative future scenario El Inglés lays out below is one of his own devising, yet it agrees with many of my own intuitions about the process now unfolding in Europe. The congruity with my own views is further emphasized by the location in the story where the European resistance begins: Denmark.

Concerning the availability of firearms in Denmark: one of my Danish contacts lives in a rural area, and he most of his neighbors own guns. He had assumed that these were all legal hunting firearms, registered with the police. He found out that this was not true, and also that the local police were well aware of all the unregistered guns, but were not concerned about it.

This made me feel even more optimistic about Denmark.

Now I’ll let El Inglés take over. This account is a long one, but bear with it; it’s well worth reading all the way through.

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The Danish Civil War — Prologue and Early Stages
by El Inglés


Introduction

As in all those parts of Europe with large and growing Muslim minorities, Denmark had experienced great difficulty in the early years of the 21st century in trying to maintain its historic freedoms and cultural traditions in the face of the increasingly strident demands of its Islamic population. However, due to a variety of factors including the unhealed scars of the Muhammad Cartoon Controversy (hereafter referred to as the MCC) and the manifest incompatibility of native Danish culture with Shari’a law, the situation worsened considerably in the years immediately after said controversy. The Danish government had some success in slowing the rate of growth of the Muslim population through its new restrictions on granting citizenship on the basis of marriage. However, by the outbreak of the civil war in 2013, that fraction of the population accounted for by Muslims was estimated to be 11%, pushed upward as it was through continued immigration and higher fertility rates among Muslims. Emigration from Denmark, particularly on the part of university-educated native Danes in their 20s and 30s, exacerbated the demographic situation.

Fredensborg explodes

In June 2008, a simultaneous suicide bombing destroyed five buses in Copenhagen, killing 68 people and wounding 174. Though condemned by all prominent Muslim groups in Denmark, opinion polls made it clear that a significant fraction of Muslims in the country sympathized with the bombers, who had issued martyrdom videos saying that the Danish presence in Iraq and Afghanistan and the MCC had left Muslims ‘no option’ but to strike back. In a pattern seen in the UK after the 7/7 bombings there, Muslim groups became more confident than ever in pressing their demands for concessions of various sorts. Insisting that, however terrible the bombings might have been, they would not stop until Muslims felt their grievances against the Danish state had been addressed, Muslim advocacy groups pushed forward with a series of initiatives designed to drive foreign and domestic policies in directions considered more amenable to Islamic mores.

In response to these challenges, the Danish government adopted a policy of granting key concessions in what can only be considered an attempt at appeasement. During this initiative, which lasted from early 2009 until July 2012, the Danish government introduced a raft of measures to try to placate Muslim opinion in Denmark. The most important of these were as follows:

Autonomous Cultural Zones

Certain geographically limited urban areas with majority Muslim populations were recognized as Autonomous Cultural Zones. Here, local councils were allowed to pass certain supplementary laws in accordance with the cultural demands of the inhabitants. As these areas all had Muslim-majority councils, this was essentially a rubber stamp for certain Shari’a legal provisions to be introduced without having to make the nature of the concession explicit. Provisions introduced included the prohibition of the sale or consumption of alcohol or pork products and a strict dress code which prohibited the wearing of T-shirts or other ‘revealing’ items to men and women alike. Though ostensibly enforceable by the police via on-the-spot fines, in practice the police presence in these areas dwindled from little to nothing in a matter of weeks. This allowed local Muslim enforcers to step well outside the newly established boundaries, demanding far greater adherence to the Shari’a than had been legally mandated. In combination, these developments drove virtually all non-Muslims and significant numbers of Muslims out of these areas.

Shari’a Courts

The Danish government allowed the creation of Shari’a courts to allow Muslims to resolve marriage, divorce and inheritance-related issues in accordance with Shari’a law. Strictly speaking, participation was optional, with any Muslim being free to insist on dealing with these matters via the existing court system. In practice however, community pressures up to and including the threat of violence forced many Muslims, particularly women, to deal with the Shari’a courts against their will.

In addition to effectively stripping thousands of Muslim women of their rights under Danish law, the new courts were not long established before their advocates started demanding that the scope of their activities be expanded, to allow them to apply Shari’a rulings in relation to crime as well. These attempts were still underway when the events of July 5, 2012 took place.
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Muslim Foreign Affairs Advisory Council

A sum of $10 million per annum was set aside to fund the activities of the Muslim Foreign Affairs Advisory Council, a body dedicated to researching how Denmark could enjoy better relations with the Islamic world. Though lacking any official authority, the level of funding awarded, the prestige afforded the new body, and the degree of access it enjoyed to decision-makers marked a significant coup for Muslim activists in Denmark.

During the approximately three years it was in existence, the MFAAC generated an unceasing flow of proposals. Whether recommending the cessation of diplomatic ties with Israel, the donation of 1% of GDP per annum for aid to the Muslim world, or formal apologies from Danish ambassadors for the MCC in Muslim countries, the focus of the MFAAC on pursuing Muslim interests led it to be viewed by many as an active fifth column.

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The events of July 5, 2012 stopped these developments in their tracks. A public press conference due to feature key Cabinet members and representatives of leading Muslim groups had been scheduled for the purpose of reaffirming bilateral support for the ailing concession-based policies. At 11:58, two minutes before it was due to start, a massive truck bomb was driven at speed into the security detail at the entrance of the government building in downtown Copenhagen where the conference was due to be held. Estimated to have contained over a tonne and a half of high explosive, the blast obliterated the venue, also destroying two medium-height buildings across the road and causing significant damage to every structure within a 200m radius. The attack claimed the lives of 346 people, wounded 1,500, many of them seriously, and caused $900 million of damage in total. A previously-unknown Islamic terrorist group claimed responsibility for the atrocity, which it said had succeeded in its twin objectives of striking a blow against the Danish Crusader regime and also at those apostate Muslims who recognized its authority.

Needless to say, once the ensuing political chaos had abated somewhat, the sitting government and its concession-based approach to things Islamic had fallen out of favour. An election held on September 23 was unprecedented in Danish history for the picture of polarization it presented. Radical Islamist parties captured a majority of the Muslim vote. Though their platforms differed, they showed thematic similarities, ranging as they did from demanding regional autonomy to advocating outright secession on the basis of a geographically consolidated Muslim bloc in possession of key infrastructural items such as ports and airports.

On the other hand, the newly formed strongly centre-right coalition advocated a set of draconian anti-Islamization, if not anti-Islamic, policies. These included the deportation of any Muslims without Danish citizenship, the drafting of new legislation prohibiting the implementation of any aspect of Shari’a law in Denmark, indefinite detention of any Muslim suspected of supporting political Islam in any form, and the repeal of all legislation introduced by the previous government to support its policy of concessions.

On election day, the coalition swept the board to attain a huge majority in the Danish Parliament, a result which prompted riots across Denmark, not only of Muslims, but anarchist and hard-left groups. As the riots entered their second week, a state of emergency was declared and the Danish military was ordered to maintain order in key urban areas with large Muslim populations. Copycat riots in other European countries, though smaller in scale, prompted European governments concerned about their domestic Muslim populations to urge the Danish government to show restraint and ‘reach out’ to its embittered Muslim minority.

Of course, events in Denmark were not taking place in a vacuum. The election of the centre-right coalition and the growing realization on the part of European publics (if not yet their governments) of the magnitude of the divide between Muslim and non-Muslim Europeans did not go unnoticed in the Muslim world. Despite initial displays of sympathy from Muslim governments around the world following the July 5 attacks, retaliation against the Danish state (or the Danish Entity, as Danes themselves now humorously referred to it) by the Muslim world was swift. Having learnt valuable lessons during the MCC, the new Danish government had increased security and withdrawn non-vital personnel from its embassies throughout the Muslim world immediately upon being elected. However, Danish diplomatic and business interests were attacked in Pakistan, Algeria, Egypt, Syria, and Iran, resulting in dozens of deaths and the almost complete withdrawal of Danish corporate activity from Muslim-majority countries. Danish citizens were warned against travelling anywhere in the Muslim world, though the number who would have felt inclined to do so was presumably negligible by then anyway.

Moving into 2013, it was still far from clear how events would play out, but a number of trends made it obvious that there was little hope that things might improve. Various key trends merit discussion here.

Increasing Segregation

Violence and intimidation directed towards non-Muslims living in or around areas dominated by Muslim populations saw a dramatic rise during the Seven Month Calm (as it is now called), from September 23, 2012 to April 23, 2013. At the same time, suspicion, hostility, and violence directed towards Muslims also increased sharply, inducing many of those who lived outside the ghettoes to relocate back in.

Genuinely well-integrated Muslims gained attention during this period for the unusually cruel nature of their plight. Trapped as they were between the choices of a forced embrace of the mushrooming Islamic fanaticism in the ghettoes and the now almost-universal hostility towards them and their religion amongst other Danes, several prominent Muslims made high-profile exits from the country. It would be hard to say which side missed them the least.

Declining Authority of the State

Islamic claims that the Danish state had no authority were hardly a novelty in Denmark, following on as naturally as they did from the universalist claims of the Shari’a. However, native Danes were also becoming increasingly vocal in their complaints that the entire apparatus of state had failed to carry out its most basic responsibilities to the people it was elected to serve. From trenchant criticisms of decades of Danish immigration policy to the huge jump in gun purchases and the formation of informal militias, there was suddenly an abundance of evidence supporting the notion that Danes now viewed their government as an incompetent blunderer at best, an active enabler of Islamization at worst.

The rot went deeper than mere scepticism about the merits of specific parties. Having obtained power in September, the new government was struggling to carry out its election pledges. The planned deportations were proving to be a legal and logistical minefield, with government lawyers finding themselves hamstrung by EU Human Rights Legislation, and opposed at every turn by domestic and international human rights organizations. At the same time, the Danish kroner and stock markets, hit hard by July 5, continued to struggle due to the ongoing political crisis, and Danish trade with the Muslim world had dried up entirely due to boycotts. It was far from clear what the current government, or indeed any government, could do to extract the country from the predicament it now faced.

Heightened Militant Activity Among Muslims

In Denmark, as in all European countries, intelligence services had been monitoring the activists of Islamists for many years. However, an alarming spike in Islamist infiltration and activity was clearly visible during the Seven Month Calm.

Osama bin Laden’s successor and former second-in-command, Ayman al-Zawahiri, had issued a video statement immediately after the July 5 bombings congratulating the terrorists and saying that Europe was tottering and would soon fall into the hands of Islam. There was speculation among intelligence communities in Western nations that this was a coded message to Islamic terrorists around the world to converge on European countries. Either way, it was soon clear that infiltration into Europe of Islamic militants with experience fighting in Iraq, Afghanistan and other countries was surging, as were the criminal activities associated with them; drug dealing and credit card rackets to supplement their foreign funding, and arms and explosives smuggling for purposes it was difficult to be sanguine about.

Analysis of the relevant data showed that Denmark was a key target for these infiltrators to a disproportionate extent. This bias, though slight, was a source of concern for Danish intelligence. However, the open borders of the EU made it difficult to control the movement of Islamic radicals effectively.

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April 23

Though it is not yet clear exactly what happened on April 23, 2013 to trigger the momentous events that followed, a broad outline can be offered here with some confidence. At approximately 19:30, a native Danish couple were taking a stroll at the edge of one of the ex-Autonomous Cultural Zones in Copenhagen when they were approached by a group of four or five young Muslim men. The men insisted that the Danish girl should cover her head or leave the area. She refused, leading to a violent altercation between her companion and the men, which resulted in him being knocked unconsciousness with a fractured skull. The girl herself was dragged off into a nearby alley and gang raped, after which the Muslim men left. Still in shock, the girl called her brother, who then made two phone calls. The first was to the ambulance service, as both the girl and her boyfriend were in urgent need of medical attention. The second was to the leader of a small Copenhagen militia of which he himself was a member.

It seems that the ambulance service and the eight members of the militia arrived at the scene at the same time. The militia members, heavily armed with semi-automatic rifles and in vehicles, ignored the attempts of two policemen who had happened upon the scene to placate them. After ensuring that the young man and woman were being treated and asking for a description of their assailants, they drove off in the general direction they concluded they must have gone, back into the ex-ACZ.

Details of what ensued are difficult to ascertain. However, it seems that the militia members quickly encountered two men whom they considered a good match for the descriptions they had received. Disembarking nearby, they challenged the men and, after a brief verbal altercation, shot and killed them. Having chosen, for reasons that are not clear, not to leave the area immediately despite the unfavourable attention they were now receiving from a growing crowd of angry Muslims, they came under fire and returned it. Given the aforementioned crowd, and the militia’s high capacity military-issue rifles, chaos quickly ensued, with dozens of Muslim casualties.

Though property damage in the surrounding area, caused largely by fire, destroyed much of the existing CCTV hardware, footage from those left untouched was later combined with that automatically transmitted to police headquarters to provide a gripping, though fragmentary, depiction of the last stand of the surrounded militia members. For approximately an hour, the gradually dwindling band tried to fight its way back out of the ex-ACZ it had entered, inflicting scores of casualties on Muslims armed with firearms and Molotov cocktails. The end, when it came, was gruesome. After running out of ammunition, the sole surviving militia member, with a gunshot wound clearly visible in the left side of his abdomen, was surrounded and torn to pieces by an enraged Muslim mob.

This final footage was time-stamped 21:37, April 23, 2013, as good a moment as any other to mark the start of the open warfare that erupted across the entire country as word of the battle spread.

April 24

In a marked departure from earlier Muslim riots in Europe, the Danish riots that commenced the night of April 23 had a much more serious character from the start, and nowhere was this more visible than in the nature of the violence. Though there was the predictable amount of Molotov cocktail-throwing, car-torching, and raw physical violence on the part of Muslims, there was also a large amount of firearm violence. Crude and largely ineffectual though it tended to be, it caused a number of casualties throughout the day. Suspicions of some degree of organization and preparation were to be proved correct by subsequent events.

More striking was the response of the other side, particularly the militias. The sheer scale of the violence, its geographical range and the number of people involved made it impossible for the police and the army to seal it off from the country at large. Though the violence was focused in and around the Muslim ghettos, the lack of any boundaries between these areas and their surroundings turned virtually every urban area in Denmark into a potential battle zone.

In response, as the government entered an emergency session to formulate a response to the situation and the police and army were deployed in strategic locations, many Danish citizens, most of them members of one of the large number of militias, fought back against Muslims with startling ruthlessness. The ready availability of firearms in Denmark coupled with the high average level of firearms training in the country meant that the militias were in a strong position to contest the situation. Violence raged across great swathes of urban Denmark as scores of Muslims were killed by gunfire across the country. Arson attacks by Muslims numbered in the hundreds, and fire departments struggled to combat what was being turned into a weapon of war by the more poorly armed Muslims.

April 25 — May 2

Violence continued in a similar manner, with both sides ignoring the calls of the government to cease fighting. Tense confrontations between armed citizens and the police were common, as the militias, already showing increased organization and purpose, disputed the authority of a government that had, they felt, failed so completely to safeguard the security of the country.

Vicious street-fighting throughout areas bordering Muslim ghettos had driven people living in those areas to retreat — Muslims further into the ghettos, non-Muslims out toward solidly non-Muslim areas. This gradual creation of a no-go zone between the combatants only reinforced the sense for some that this was a war, however unconventional. Television crews from around the world streamed into Denmark to report on the situation, almost inconceivable in a Northern European country.

May 3

Taking advantage of the lull in the fighting brought about by the increasing physical separation of the combatants and a day of unusually poor weather, the Danish police and army moved to encircle all substantial Muslim ghettos in the country. Sporadic fighting continued where the state presence was light. Militia leaders insisted on retaining forces in strategic positions and being consulted on developments. TV crews were now camped on both sides of the front line, broadcasting both sides of the unfolding crisis around the world.

May 4

The situation by noon on May 4 had largely stabilized as follows: All major and most minor Muslim ghettoes were now surrounded by an as-yet chaotic mixture of army, police and militia forces. The abovementioned no-go zones, a series of rings between one to three blocks in thickness around each ghetto, were now empty of people, with many of the buildings having been gutted by fire and looting. The political scene was still in flux, it being unclear to what extent civilian leaders retained effective control of the military or police forces, which made few serious attempts to disarm the militias.

The situation inside the ghettoes was known to the world through the broadcasts of the TV crews inside, many of them from Arabic-language news channels such as Al-Jazeera and Al-Arabiya. A steady stream of Muslim suffering, threatening, and ululating was transmitted around the world.

The Danish kroner and stock market had now both collapsed, prompting leaders of business and industry to act decisively to pull the country back from the brink. What exactly might accomplish this was unclear, however, given that the authority of the government itself had been greatly weakened.

May 6

The Danish Prime Minister announced his intention to dissolve the government and step down from his position. Various key members of the Danish parliament struggled to put together an emergency caretaker government.

The Danish police and army started to see significant numbers of defections to key militias. Leaders of the most powerful militias, backed by one of Denmark’s most senior generals, issued a joint statement on national television declaring that the caretaker government being hastily cobbled together by key Danish members of parliament would be illegitimate should it even be formed. They declared their intention to deal with the Muslim situation in their own way, thereby guaranteeing the continued existence and security of the Danish State.

Significantly, they issued two further proclamations: that no Danish citizens would be subject to punishment by law for using reasonable force to defend themselves, their loved ones, or their property, and that Muslims were no longer to be considered Danish citizens unless pronounced so by the militia councils then in the process of being formed.

May 8

The consolidation of political control of the vast majority of the ghettoes by radical elements, many of them Al-Qaeda affiliated, was made clear by the rebuffing of all attempts to establish formal contacts with the ghettoes, formal or informal. Indeed, one militia member approaching a ghetto through the surrounding no-go zone under cover of a white flag was shot and killed by a sniper.

TV broadcasts from the camps continued, providing a stream of coverage 24 hours a day from both Muslim and non-Muslim news crews. However, it gradually became clear that they were being censored, if not directed, by extremist Muslims, consisting as they did largely of exhortations to jihad and footage of dead and wounded Muslims within the ghettoes. A number of TV crews managed to make their way back through the no-go zones to the Danish side. They spoke of the growing squalor and rapidly-depleting food supplies within, and the total control that militant Islamic elements now enjoyed.

May 9 — May 10

A well-organized, double-pronged night attack from within one of the larger ghettoes temporarily pushed through the no-go zone to give Muslim elements control of a three-by-three block segment of a Danish area. Using small arms fire, RPGs and a certain amount of light machine gun support, an estimated fifty fighters expelled Danish forces from the area by midnight.

Though a concerted counterattack spearheaded by an armoured unit forced the Muslim militants back out of their positions by early the next morning, total casualties taken by the Danish forces (militias and army elements) were heavy. This spoke volumes as to the infiltration of Denmark by experienced jihadis, and the extent to which Muslims had armed themselves in preparation for some sort of societal breakdown.

May 13

A demonstration of some 20,000 international peace activists was staged in Århus. Declaring their intent to enter the no-go zone to deliver a message of peace and goodwill, the demonstration organizers ignored the insistence of the Århus militias that they would not allow it to proceed. Around midday, the already rather chaotic crowd of demonstrators arrived at the Århus ghetto constituting its destination, only to rapidly disintegrate when anarchist infiltrators and militia members started to clash. Molotov cocktails, stones, and baseball bats on the one side were met with gunfire on the other, resulting in heavy casualties (though few fatalities) among the demonstrators. Dozens of anarchists and related elements manage to make their way through the no-go zones to join the ‘anti-imperialist’ cause of their Muslim ‘comrades.’

May 15 — May 23

A day of demonstrations planned by Muslims throughout Europe to display solidarity with the ‘new Jews’ spiralled out of control, leading to huge riots in major European cities. Riot police were unable to regain control of the situation in parts of France, the Netherlands, Belgium, and Sweden, where key Muslim ghettoes saw a complete breakdown of law and order following their ostensibly temporary abandonment by the police.

Rocked by these events, the Swedish and Dutch governments denounced Denmark for its heavy-handed approach to the ‘unrest’ it was facing. In contrast, the French government issued a statement of unequivocal support, and declared its intention to maintain the security of the French state at all costs.

Due to the physical proximity to Denmark of the now uncontrollable Malmö region of Sweden and the notable lack of Scandinavian solidarity on Muslim issues, Denmark closed its road and sea connections with Sweden. Militias and ex-navy elements stepped up patrols of the Danish coast near Malmö to prevent the possible infiltration into Denmark of radical Islamic elements in Sweden.

May 26 — June 4

Multiple suicide bombings in European cities claimed thousands of lives in public buildings and on public transport. Paris, Birmingham, Amsterdam, Seville, Rome and Brussels were particularly badly hit. The inability of the security forces of said countries to break up the plots is considered to be largely due to the exponential growth of unaffiliated cells of self-motivated Islamic fanatics.

Increasing polarization along Danish lines started to become more visible throughout Europe, as European governments found themselves swept along by the same forces that resulted in the eventual disintegration of the Danish government. At the same time, Muslim governments around the world moved towards adopting, more or less willingly, hard-line stances with respect to all European nations, threatening dire consequences if Muslims in the Danish ghettoes continued to suffer.

June 7

Smoke drifted high above the ghettoes as Muslims were forced to start cremating the corpses of the many hundreds, if not thousands, of Muslims now dead from wounds, disease, and starvation. The inter-ghetto coordination evident in this (strictly un-Islamic) activity prompted speculation that it also served as a propaganda tactic, but of the increasingly dire situation in the ghettoes there was by now little doubt. The electricity supply had been almost completely cut in the early days of the crisis, as had the telephone grid. The mobile phone network still covered the ghettoes to some extent, thereby allowing a degree of communication, but deliveries of food, medicine and other supplies were kept to a bare minimum by militias.

The cremations were covered widely by the international media, with some commentators, particularly in the Muslim world, drawing comparisons with the Nazi death camps and the Warsaw ghetto.

June 9

The militias increased the electricity supply to the ghettoes, simultaneously announcing a plan to start gradual evacuations of Muslims to safe areas where they can be prepared for deportation to their countries of origin. Within hours, the OIC issued replied with a counter-statement saying that its member states would not participate in the ethnic cleansing of their fellow Muslims from Europe, and would close their airspace to Danish flights attempting to deport Muslims. Danish construction companies officially started work on a complex of internment camps across the country for the purpose of holding and pacifying the country’s Muslim population until a permanent resolution to the crisis could be found.

June 10

Remarkable scenes ensued on the Muslim side of the no-go zone in Odense as approximately fifty Muslims, mainly women and children, marched out into the zone holding white flags and banners saying ‘We Surrender’ in Danish. The leaders of the group were seen to become involved in a brief altercation with two masked Muslim men, an altercation which ended when one of the men drew a handgun and carried out a point-blank execution of three Muslim women. Its progress thus halted, the group was forced to return to the ghetto.

June 19

A joint militia council announced a plan to sweep all ghettoes one by one, crushing all armed resistance, and relocating all Muslims to the rapidly growing internment camp complex, women and children in one set of camps, males aged 16 or over in another. These plans were announced by loudspeaker into every ghetto in the country, with supplementary information to the effect that resistance of any sort would not be tolerated. As the announcement was made, all water, sewage, electricity, gas, phone, mobile phone, and Internet services to the ghettoes were cut, as were all deliveries of food and medical supplies. Muslim leadership elements announced their intention to fight off the assaults, inshallah.

June 20 — June 23

An Al-Qaida cell consisting of white converts, having infiltrated Denmark from Germany, unleashed a sarin nerve gas attack on the Copenhagen public transport system, killing 98 and leaving a further 2,000 in need of medical attention. Punitive counter-attacks on ghettoes by militias, their ranks swollen by a fresh batch of army and police defectors, caused thousands of casualties as strategic areas of key ghettoes were cleansed of Muslims in scenes of extraordinary brutality.

June 24

The Reverend Jesse Jackson arrived outside the largest ghetto in Copenhagen as a self-appointed peace envoy. His convoy was destroyed by large-calibre sniper fire as it crossed the no-go zone. Both sides claimed responsibility.

June 26

U.S. President Al Gore declared Islam to be a religion of peace.


Discussion and Analysis

The scenario above is not intended as a prediction of what is likely to transpire with respect to Islam in Denmark or any other country. Rather, it is intended as a narrative, stitched together out of a large number of events (such with much precedent, some less) to try and stimulate an examination of the long-term implications of the Islamization of European countries, and certain issues that may have to be dealt with in fighting it. It is reasonably plausible in certain respects, and less so in others, but it is hoped that it will at least act as a springboard for further discussion.

Islam as Conspiracy

When one discusses the existential threat posed to European nations by their large and rapidly growing Muslim populations with those not yet convinced of it, one of the most commonly-heard objections is that the notion smacks of a conspiracy theory. ‘So they’ve come here to take over, have they?’ goes the incredulous response. This line of thought, though misconceived, is superficially persuasive to some degree and not easily refutable by simply pointing out that some small minority of Muslims in each country is in fact quite vocal about its desires in this respect. As such, it deserves some discussion here.

The ‘Good Cop, Bad Cop’ analogy has often been suggested to provide a model for understanding Muslim behaviour in certain regards: Bad Cop carries out terrorist atrocity, Good Cop expresses profound sorrow but suggests that attacks will continue as long as certain demands are not met. However, in this model the Good Cop and the Bad Cop act on the basis of an explicit understanding of their roles, in pursuit of an objective agreed upon in advance. As one assumes that Islamist lobby groups and would-be terrorists are not actively colluding, we must answer the question of how an analogous coordination could take place, or abandon the model.

The coordinating force in question is, of course, Islam itself. Given the religious totalitarianism intrinsic to it and the imperative it contains to expand the geographical domain of that totalitarianism, it is hardly surprising that Muslims in a non-Muslim society should pursue Islamization, and that they should pursue it in a variety of ways given the broad spectrum of personalities, backgrounds, skills, and social standings they will be drawn from. There is no reason why Muslims cannot reference the actions of other Muslims they have never been in contact with in attempting to convince Europeans to meet their demands. Indeed, they will be extremely likely to do so, as these actions can comprise the single most obvious dilemma facing said Europeans with respect to their Muslim populations.

Consider the suggestion of the Muslim Council of Britain to the British government that incorporating Muslim holidays into the official calendar and allowing Shari’a-based divorce could help to reduce the rage felt by the UK’s Muslim population and prevent future terrorist attacks. The manifest implausibility of this notion makes its opportunistic nature clear. The MCB may have genuinely disapproved of the attack and may have silently cheered it, but the opportunity would have been utilized regardless. Thus, terrorists and lobbyists achieve a high degree of teamwork without even having any specific knowledge of each other’s existence. Asking who acts as a coordinator would be equivalent to asking who ‘coordinates’ the anti-Semitism of Nazis, be it expressed through political activism or attacks on Jews. In this case, Nazism itself is the sole and sufficient coordinator. An alternative formulation would be to say that the Islamization conspiracy is coordinated by none other than Islam itself, the invisible hand that takes the activities of millions of Muslims unknown to each other and combines them into a coherent whole, clearly visible to those with the will to see it.

What is most interesting about this conspiracy is its public nature. The texts, doctrine, laws, and history of Islam, together with much analysis of the same, are more available to non-Muslims than ever before, along with a steady flow of news about their global behaviour, and a large and growing number of Muslims who explicitly declare the supremacist nature of their religion. Despite this, it remains quite invisible to huge numbers of otherwise intelligent non-Muslims, who assume the problems caused with remarkable consistency by Muslims and only Muslims, wherever they are to be found in large numbers, are teething troubles that would disappear if only some list of conditions were fulfilled.

There are surely many people of good will in European countries who are not as concerned as they should be about Islam due to their inability to distinguish between harmless concessions to a community genuinely eager to fit in, and the latest of the thousand cuts that Islam hopes to defeat us with. Formulating a strategy for helping such people see why even minor concessions should be opposed, perhaps in the manner outlined above, could be a valuable activity.

State Monopoly on Violence

The extent to which non-government actors can prepare themselves to usefully combat Islamization will be a function of, amongst other things, the availability of firearms in their respective countries. One of the most significant effects of the right to bear arms enshrined in the Second Amendment of the U.S. constitution is the way in which it allows the creation of a safety net of sorts, a fallback position for the nation at large. Given that some degree of physical coercion, or at least the threat of such coercion, must exist for a society to maintain itself, it follows that concentrating the means of that coercion (firearms and the relevant training, in a modern context) in a single agent (the government) is an extremely risky strategy when the competence, benevolence, and political courage of that agent cannot be taken for granted. In contrast, allowing these means to be distributed more widely throughout a given society creates a more fracture-resistant polity, where the failure of a single part of the system cannot result in catastrophic failure, considered here to be the complete breakdown of law and order and an ensuing descent into chaos.

This all being the case, the legal availability of firearms in a country is likely to prove a key indicator of how, and how effectively, that country will respond to Islamization when it becomes clear that the problem is existential and government either cannot or will not respond appropriately. Of course it is likely that, as Islamization proceeds and the intractable nature of the problems it creates becomes ever more evident, the illegal acquisition of firearms will become more common. However, it must be observed here that a lack of legal access to firearms over a period of some decades creates a further two handicaps in addition to this obvious legal one. The second, more serious handicap, is the lack of firearms training and experience among the population at large, a difficulty which cannot be remedied easily or quickly. The third handicap, more serious still, is the psychological handicap, whereby the vast majority of the population of an entire country has been stripped of the very notion that citizens might have an obligation to bear arms to protect themselves, their loved ones, and their ways of life. Though some will undoubtedly reacquire this mentality quickly, most people will find themselves adrift in a world bearing no resemblance to that which they thought they lived in.

As such, one of the most pressing issues facing those who would oppose Islamization is the addressing of these three handicaps, in order of seriousness. The psychological handicap, of course, can, in principle, be addressed anywhere. The issue of training can be addressed legally in some European countries, and even natives of those where it cannot could, in principle, travel to those where it can to receive firearms training. It is not, after all, illegal to learn to shoot unless one happens to be screeching ‘Allahu Akbar’ at the same time. Failing that, even firearms knowledge gained from books (how does a semi-automatic pistol operate?) would prove itself significantly better than nothing in a time of need.

It is important to stress that circumventing the legal handicap by acquiring any kind of firearm on the black market would be a bad idea at present, and the current author does not advocate any such activity. Things will presumably take care of themselves in that respect when the situation has deteriorated sufficiently. Those fortunate enough to live in countries where firearms can be acquired legally should take full advantage of the opportunities so afforded as soon as possible, bearing in mind that governments have been known to introduce draconian restrictions on the legality of firearms in very short periods of time.

Collapse of Apparatus of State

Perhaps the single greatest unknown when considering the likely course of future developments is the role of the state. Where the apparatus of state is strong and considered legitimate by the population it governs, will it seek primarily to stifle opposition to Islamization, for whatever reason? Will it remain effectively neutral, maintaining order and enforcing the law as even-handedly as possible? Or will it turn on its Muslim population, killing, incarcerating, and deporting them in an effort to reverse the inexorable Islamization it has belatedly woken up to?

Not only would it appear to be futile to try and answer these questions, the legitimacy accorded the state will itself vary as a function of how it acts, potentially undermining its ability to act in any coherent manner at all. A problem of this complexity is difficult to begin to conceptualize, let alone impose any intellectual order on.

Is it possible to say anything concrete in this respect at all? There is one observation that is surely worth making. Given the strength of the state in all Western European countries, and the legitimacy it enjoys (deservedly, as a brief look at vast swathes of the Earth’s surface will make clear), it seems highly unlikely that it will simply disintegrate in the manner outlined in the fictional scenario that makes up the first section of this document. Though new, non-governmental organizations will surely spring up to supplement or contend with the organs of state in response to Islamization, it seems safe to assume that the apparatus of state in European countries will continue to occupy centre-stage in this drama for some time yet.

Why then, does the scenario outlined in the Danish Civil War diverge so drastically from this prediction? The reason is simply that it is incumbent on us to consider worst-case scenarios, not best-case scenarios. In the best-case scenario, state and people would decisively oppose and reverse Islamization, using whatever level of violence (in the broadest sense of the term, including all forms of physical coercion) were necessary to secure their countries against the totalitarian political system that Islam is. Furthermore, they would do so soon, before Muslim populations became so large as to make a relatively orderly solution to the problem impossible.

In such an eventuality, no particularly careful analysis of the process of de-Islamization would be necessary. Indeed, the main problem would be determining how to restrict the measures brought to bear on Muslims to the minimum necessary, rather than allowing a resentful population to create great suffering for millions. However, though political parties explicitly opposed to the Islamic penetration of their countries have started to become more visible presences on their respective domestic political scenes, it is hard to predict a rapid change in attitudes towards Islam on the part of major political parties and thousands of influential people in the media and academia. The sheer magnitude of the intellectual and emotional investment in their current stance vis-à-vis Islam prohibits it.

Given the overwhelming momentum of our current political apparatus then, it seems that private citizens must do what they can to prepare for what may come without expecting a great deal of their governments, at least in the near future. They should remain open to the possibility that future events may shift those with political power towards their way of thinking, whilst preparing themselves for the possibility of a total collapse of the authority of the state.

Concept of Citizenship

The economic analogy afforded by the phenomenon of inflation is extremely instructive in any consideration of the questions of group identity or group membership. Consider the familiar chain of events when countries start printing money to cover obligations that cannot be met any other way (public salaries, government bonds, etc.). The entry into circulation of new money without a commensurate creation of new wealth means that each unit of currency corresponds to less wealth, with prices rising as a result.

Though the motivations underlying the ‘printing’ of new group memberships (i.e. the issuing of citizenship or equivalent status) are clearly different, a partial analogy can be drawn in terms of the effects. In a country like Japan, which has yet to develop an interest in allowing mass immigration from the developing world, citizenship (group membership in the Japanese nation) is remarkably clear-cut. To be Japanese is to be a member of that ethnic, linguistic and cultural community located on the Japanese archipelago. Though it is possible in principle to obtain Japanese citizenship, it is extremely difficult and time-consuming and will not result in one being thought of as Japanese by the Japanese. Why not? Because one would simply not be Japanese, irrespective of government or media propaganda to the contrary (propaganda which does not exist). This state of affairs, in which the conditions for citizenship are universally agreed upon by group members and not undergoing non-organic, top-down attempts at revision, can be likened to a stable currency. In Japan, Japanese citizenship is a solid gold coin, its value unquestioned in social transactions.

When a government ‘prints’ new citizenships at a rate necessitated by mass immigration, it is attempting to create a new set of criteria for group membership. In effect, it is saying that the old criteria, evolved over a period of centuries, if not millennia, are to be rewritten by bureaucratic fiat, under cover of a smokescreen provided by meaningless boilerplate about ‘shared values,’ and ‘diversity.’ The timescale for this rewriting will be massively compressed relative to the initial evolutionary timescale, making gradual adjustment impossible. As this process advances, two things will become clear: the legal reality of the citizenship of the newcomers, and the utter incompatibility of at least some portion of them with the still deeply-entrenched membership criteria of the natives.

Consider the case of Abu Hamza, that charmingly photogenic favourite of the British tabloids up until his arrest, trial, and incarceration by the British state. Given that the Home Office granted him a British passport after his (reputedly bigamous) marriage to a UK citizen, he was declared, in effect, by the state to be as British as anyone else.

But what could this possibly mean? If an Egyptian-born radical Muslim who incited violence against non-Muslims, advocated global jihad, and was implicated in a variety of terrorism-related activities could be British, then we are forced to one of two conclusions. The first is that the category of the British citizen had degenerated to the point where it was compatible with these activities, in which case it would be hard to see why it should be granted any significance. The other is that the state was simply wrong, and that, legal issues notwithstanding, Abu Hamza was not British. Either way, the currency of citizenship would have been debased, with a British passport ‘just not worth what it used to be.’

This is the first step in the inflationary analogy. The second occurs in extreme cases, in which governments, not understanding the relationship between printing money and inflation, start blaming their monetary woes on others, as in Robert Mugabe’s Zimbabwe. The official rate of inflation in Zimbabwe in late 2007, measurable in the thousands of percent per annum, was not, Mr. Mugabe would have us believe, a result of government policies that had predictably destroyed the economy, but of an international conspiracy masterminded by the Blair government. In response, the Mugabe regime responded by criminalizing the perfectly natural, indeed inevitable, price-raising of retailers, introducing price controls that would force them to sell at a loss. The eventual outcome of this saga is not yet clear, but one suspects that Zimbabwe will not be a happier place for it.

The causes of inflation being reasonably well understood, such madness is uncommon. It seems to be universal in the immigration analogue however, at least among very significant parts of the government, media, and population at large, who claim that racism, xenophobia, fascism, or some combination thereof is to blame for the reluctance of European populations to be taken over by Islam. Attempts to criminalize the perfectly natural responses of the original populations become (such as vociferous criticism or mockery of Islam) more prevalent. Again, the outcome of these developments is not yet clear, but it is unlikely to be positive. The only thing that can be predicted with certainty is the eventual rejection of the notion of citizenship foisted on people by their governments, in the same way that money is increasingly rejected Zimbabwe in favour of barter economies. This will be a catastrophe for immigrants who succeeded in genuinely adapting to their new homes. A new legal structure for citizenship, as inclusive as possible of existing immigrants whilst providing effective defence against Islam, should be considered a matter of some urgency.

Bottom of the Slide

Notably absent from discussions about appropriate responses to the Islamization of Europe is the concept of the end game. If those opposing Islamization, in whatever manner, in whatever part of Europe, over whatever time frame, succeed in achieving their goals, what sort of Europe would we then be living in? How would it most obviously differ from the Europe of today? Here, in closing, the author will make clear his own answers to these questions. These will be predicated on the following six notions.

1 — Islam is a Totalitarian Political Ideology

Though we are regularly treated to the refrain ‘Islam is not a monolith,’ Islam is in fact a remarkably consistent and enduring set of ideas about the world and how human beings should behave in it. In Hugh Fitzgerald’s formulation, it is doubly totalitarian, both in terms of the demands it makes on the believer, and its claim to political dominance over the whole world. Given that no aspect of human life is left unregulated by Islam, and no human life considered outside its authority (as Muslim or as dhimmi), seeking to arrive at some modus vivendi with it is pointless and counterproductive. Its sway over law, custom, and the general mode of life in Europe must be reduced to nil.

2 — Islam is Unreformable on any Timescale of Relevance to the Problem

The Islamic world has occasionally played host to trends which we could consider to be reformist in nature. There have been times and places where freethinkers have flourished, and scepticism about the central claims of Islam permitted. However, it is difficult to escape the conclusion that Muslims have been remarkably successful in extinguishing these movements in their attempts to protect orthodoxy, and their ability to do so is still something to be reckoned with, even in European countries. Moreover, Islam as a whole seems to be on a downward trajectory in this respect, with supposedly moderate Muslim countries seeing Shari’a law extend its authority (Turkey, Malaysia) as others dissolve into failed states dominated by psychotic theocrats (Pakistan, Iraq, Sudan, Afghanistan).

As a result, the oft-discussed issue of Islamic reform is in fact wholly irrelevant to any discussion of the response to Islamization. There is simply no reason to believe that reform, if possible at all, could take place on a timescale which might affect the course of events in Europe. The lay of the battlefield and the forces arrayed upon it will surely be clear within twenty years. Those who believe that Islam, a protean force, and one of the most successful political ideologies of all time, will reform itself just in time to save us the bother of having to fight it are engaging in as deluded a bout of wishful thinking as could be imagined. This is not to deny that some nominal Muslims in Europe will drift away from it, but drift is not reform.

3 — Islam is Forever

Islam has an unmatched ability to hollow out that which it absorbs. Stripping away intellectual and artistic freedoms to replace them with a predilection for frothing, ululating, and burning effigies, having once taken possession of a stretch of the Earth’s surface, it admits no rivals to its dominion unless defeated by force of arms. Unlike an ideology such as Communism, it cannot be discredited by its material failures. It is not an economic policy that can be abandoned if it fails. One cannot try it on as one might try on a hat, free to take it off and try another if it fails to please. Once a majority of the people in a polity accept it, it will prove impossible to dislodge.

Islam is not a dark valley from which one eventually emerges after a period of struggle. It attacks too furiously and successfully the habits of thought that would be required to undermine it. For this reason, the battle with Islam must be considered existential in nature. To lose it would be to accept the utter destruction of one’s way of life and everything good in it.

4 — Demographics Favour Islam

If the Muslim population of a country were to peak at, say, 1% of the total, it could perhaps be ignored. After all, Nazism is also a murderous, totalitarian ideology, but its continuing presence in European countries does not appear to be an existential threat to them. However, as is well known, Muslim birth rates are significantly higher than those of non-Muslims throughout Europe. No pernicious ideology (Communism, Nazism, etc.) that has afflicted Europe in recent history has benefited from this dynamic. Yet it is a dynamic of massive implications.

Imagine if, by some means unknown, the Muslim population of the Netherlands as a fraction of the whole were to halve overnight, from 6% to 3%. This huge change would have no significant effect on the long-term trajectory of Islamization in the country. It would merely delay it by as long as it took it to rise from 3% to 6% in the first place, if one assumes identical growth profiles both times. This period, surely not more than two decades, would be a historical blink of the eye. Delaying the Islamization of a country in this highly unrealistic manner, though hugely beneficial in and of itself, does not represent a solution to the problem. Indeed, it ensures its continuation. As such, the Muslim population of a country seeking to avoid Islamization must be stabilized, and at a level low enough to remove Islam from the public sphere.

5 — Separatism is not an Option

There may be those who think that separatism is the most likely path for events to take. Can we not simply detach ourselves from our Muslim populations, letting them go their way while we go ours? One could envisage a population transfer in which Muslims and non-Muslims sorted themselves out in two geographically separate blocs. Might this not provide the best solution to our growing dilemma?

Not only is the answer to this question no, it is vital to understand that this would be one of the worst conceivable outcomes for European peoples, because it would solve nothing while giving the impression of having solved everything. Here we will demonstrate why this would be the case.

Assuming the validity of the above four points, we would, after partition, be faced with a viciously intolerant and supremacist Islamic mini-state, almost certainly led by extremist elements given the acrimony that would result from partition. This state would have to have been granted airports, ports, power stations, and other key infrastructural items to allow it to be viable at all. The chances of it being economically self-sufficient would, however, be virtually nil, so it would be obliged to extract some sort of subsidies from somewhere, presumably the parent state. Its fertility rate would still be higher than that of the parent state, which would create incremental increases in its demands for financial support and further pressures for new geographical concessions due to population increase.

The Muslim state would continue to represent a terrorist threat to the parent state, and would make continuous attempts to subvert and destroy it. It would be able to reinforce its position militarily in a way which would have been impossible if it had consisted solely of scattered Muslim ghettoes under the watchful eye of the original state. With control over its own borders, it could import the arms and equipment needed to build defences that would make it extremely hard to take by conventional assault, as per Hezbollah in southern Lebanon.

Lastly, there would always be elements within the parent state itself wedded to the belief that the granting of some list of concessions would enable peaceful coexistence. Such elements would represent an ever-present threat to the parent state, a threat which would presumably have no parallel in the Muslim state. There could even be Muslim elements within the parent state, ‘moderate’ Muslims who had been allowed to remain as they had ‘integrated’ so well. Given the track record of such people to date in Europe, it is impossible to dismiss the possibility of their continuing collusion with their co-religionists across the border.

Those who consider this prognosis too pessimistic should consider the case of India, which is illuminating in some, though not all, of these respects. Created in 1947 through the partition of British India into a Hindu state and a Muslim state, India had a Muslim population of approximately 8% at independence, with West and East Pakistan having Hindu populations of approximately 25% each. Over the course of the next 60 years, the westernmost part of the now-fractured Muslim state, Pakistan, would drive out or kill nearly all of this Hindu population, which now stands at less than 1%. The easternmost part would see genocide and ethnic cleansing force the Hindu population down to approximately 10%. This as Muslims clamoured for their fundamental human right to self-determination in Kashmir!

For its part, India would see its Muslim population grow from 8% to an official figure of 13%. However, mass illegal immigration from Bangladesh has swelled the actual figure well above this total, to an estimated 16%. India continues to be afflicted by endemic terrorist attacks, and faces the same existential demographic issues as does any other state with a Muslim minority. What will it do when its Muslim population reaches 25%? Repartition? Why would this repartition not then be followed by the genocide and ethnic cleansing of Hindus in the new Muslim state once more? How would it avoid leaving an Islamic seed in the new, reduced India, to start the cycle over again? When and how does this process come to a halt for India? When Islam reforms?

We must not walk this path in Europe. If the problem must be dealt with, it must be dealt with permanently once the political will exists. Separation is defeat in the long term. Should it come about due to forces beyond the control of those fighting Islamization, it must be considered a temporary phase, to be addressed with all haste.

6 — Europe Owes Islam Nothing

Absurdly inflated claims to have invented virtually the whole of modern mathematics and science are routine from Muslims and their apologists. In fact, we owe Islam little in these respects, and nothing in any other. Immigrants who have come to Europe, worked hard, obeyed the law and done their best to integrate into their new homes must be considered valued citizens on a par with any others. However, Muslims can overwhelmingly be placed in one of two categories: those who are fiercely committed to Islamizing their host societies, and those who have vociferously rejected and opposed any critical examination of their religion by non-Muslims. None of these people are owed anything by those who see no good reason to have their way of life destroyed by a 7th-century war-fighting cult. There are billions of people in the developing world who would dearly love the opportunity to build a better life in Europe. Those who gain it, only to spit in the faces of those who have taken them in, cannot expect to be treated with particular consideration.

*   *   *   *   *   *   *   *   *   *   *   *   *   *   *

The nature of the problem is made clear by the first five points above, and the moral nature of a robust response to Islamization the sixth. Islam is a totalitarian political ideology, impossible to reform on any useful timescale, impossible to supplant once deeply embedded, demographically destined to become ever more threatening, from which we cannot simply separate, and which we owe no consideration. What would a Europe that had succeeded in defending itself against this cancer look like?

The answer is twofold. Firstly, it would not have many Muslims in it. As a rough figure, and taking into account European experience to date, a Muslim population of not more than 0.5% might prove manageable. How this population could be kept at or beneath this level is not clear.

Secondly, a Europe no longer threatened by Islam would have no geographical concentrations of Muslims at all. Muslims who wish to live in Muslim ghettoes are surely capable of locating a suitable ghetto in their own country and moving there. There is no reason to allow their recreation in civilized countries.

Given that Muslims will be unlikely to give up their religion, however nicely we might ask them, there are only three ways of achieving this state of affairs. They are discussed below, in order of increasing unpleasantness.

*   *   *   *   *   *   *   *   *   *   *   *   *   *   *

1 — Inducing Muslims to Leave of Their Own Free Will

The best solution for all concerned is would be that Muslims are persuaded that their future does not lie in Europe. Measures introduced to bring this about could include the following:

  • Prohibition of Muslim immigration
  • New legislation banning halal butchery
  • Prohibition of new mosque construction
  • Drastic restrictions on Muslim access to welfare benefits
  • Punitive taxation on Muslims to fund security services
  • Closures of existing mosques
  • Closures of Muslim schools
  • Banning the hijab/niqab/burka
  • Criminalization of verbal support for Muslim terrorists
  • Prohibition of public gatherings of Muslims on security grounds
  • Prohibition of Muslim-Muslim marriage

The effectiveness of such measures, implemented in concert by an angry populace and a determined government, could convince many Muslims that Islam’s time in Europe was drawing to a close, inducing large numbers to leave. Given that they would no doubt be accompanied by a good deal of freelance hostility towards Muslims, they could be very effective indeed. However, there would almost certainly be many who would stay, whether due to a genuine attachment to their host countries, their appreciation of the hideousness of their own countries, or a desire to fight it out. After all, the growing hostility to Muslims in Europe does not yet seem to have dampened their desire to live there.

2 — Mass Deportations

The second way of reducing the Muslim population of a country would be to simply throw huge numbers of them out. As such a policy would be unlikely to be adopted all of a sudden, it would probably be implemented on the heels of the first option.

Let us consider some numbers. If a single passenger aircraft carries 250 people, then 4,000 flights can remove 1,000,000 people, approximately the Muslim population of the Netherlands. At ten flights a day, this process would take a little over a year, so the gross physical plausibility of the scheme is easy to establish. Furthermore, the legal issues involved in such a mass deportation are irrelevant, as any country embarking on a scheme of this nature would already be far beyond caring about such niceties, or about what derogatory comments might be made about it at the UN.

Unfortunately, the logistical difficulties would be fairly considerable, to put it mildly, and would undoubtedly necessitate the preparatory internment of the entire Muslim population. This could not be achieved without the massive application of brute force, and would be a process likely to spiral out of control given the numbers of people in question.

It also assumes that Muslim countries would be prepared to take in hundreds of thousands, if not millions, of angry, confused, impoverished, sickly refugees. They would be acquiescing in the cessation of the flow of remittances the refugees would otherwise have sent home, and the loss of a considerable amount of political influence in Europe. It is therefore entirely possible that they would simply refuse to allow such deportations to take place, by closing their airspace and cutting all diplomatic relations with the countries in question. The attitude of the Arab world to the plight of the Palestinians, allowed to rot away in their filthy refugee camps as long as they are of some political utility there, is extremely instructive in this regard.

Which brings us to option three.

3 — Genocide

The final option consists of genocide, i.e. the intentional, physical destruction of Islam in Europe. Note that this would not necessarily consist of the killing of all Muslims. As Muhammad himself would be quick to remind us, one can simply kill off the men and claim everyone else as booty. Given the low regard in which slavery is justifiably held in 21st century Europe, it is difficult to see how the booty option could usefully be applied. However, bearing in mind that the threat of Islam lies essentially in its menfolk, in principle, Muslim women could probably just be absorbed into the nation as a whole, Islam itself withering away as a result of a zero-tolerance policy.

Though a discussion of this nature might strike some as being somewhat off-colour, it is important to bear in mind that genocide is not being advocated here. Rather, it is being observed that genocide has been an ever-present factor during history, not least the history of the 20th century. Irrespective of the existence of this document or the exact nature of its content, the cloud of lurking genocide will grow ever-darker over Europe as Islamization proceeds. It would be intellectually and morally negligent not to point this out.

In the Danish scenario outlined in the first section of the document, it can be seen that the Danes quickly progress from option one to something that would constitute a preparation for options two or three, or, more likely, some combination of both. It is highly improbable that any solution to the dilemma posed to Europe by Islam will come about as a result of strict adherence to a single one of the three options. Far more likely is a scenario in which they are messily superimposed on each other as events disintegrate, moving out of the realm of control or prediction.

61 comments:

Homophobic Horse said...

Don't underestimate women.

Henrik said...

A few random comments:

1) Moslems do not have the power they are given in that scenario. If you bring back pre-2001 immigration laws and give it another decade, then maybe, just maybe.

2) You could arm quite a few people with shotguns, and handguns can be had illegally if you know the right people (or know people who know the right people), but military-style rifles etc, while not impossible, are very, very, VERY hard to come by in bulk. So unless the government/police turn a blind eye to it, Im dismissing the growth of a militia like the one mentioned.

Henrik

ProFlandria said...

El Ingles,

The "Concept of Citizenship" section is pure gold.

"If an Egyptian-born radical Muslim who incited violence against non-Muslims, advocated global jihad, and was implicated in a variety of terrorism-related activities could be British, then we are forced to one of two conclusions. The first is that the category of the British citizen had degenerated to the point where it was compatible with these activities, in which case it would be hard to see why it should be granted any significance. The other is that the state was simply wrong, and that, legal issues notwithstanding, Abu Hamza was not British. Either way, the currency of citizenship would have been debased, with a British passport ‘just not worth what it used to be.’"

This is the prime argument that any politician should use to advocate restrictions on immigration. Unfortunately, the move towards European Union citizenship (as a replacement of national citizenship) will soon place the problem within the realm of an organization not known for its indulgence of contrary arguments.

While in some European countries the supposed blessings of uncontrolled immigration are becoming somewhat debatable on the national level, I think the momentum of that movement is simply not strong enough to overcome the opposition of the leftist-dominated governments within the short window of opportunity before the European Union's oligarchy of unelected elites become the custodians of citizenship.

Your fictional scenario may be overstated, but at least some of the events you describe will come to pass, regardless of the final outcome of events. One aspect of the scenario, at least, will not work for a significant number of the affected countries because their populations are, to all intents and purposes, disarmed. In those countries, the only solution would be to get the weapons where the monopoly lies - the Armed Forces and police. The European Union itself holds a powerful card as well: EUROGENDFOR, whose manning levels were recently authorized to increase to 1.5 million. This could introduce a continent-wide dynamic to the conflict, and the EU will likely NOT be an ally against Islamization.

Mr. Smarterthanyou said...

One problem: On April 24th, the Army and Police would be out in force DISARMING WHITE PEOPLE and patrolling the borders with the muslim enclaves, but would not enter the enclaves because as the LA police learned with blacks, and the French have learned with muslims, any physical law enforcement action against protected minority groups results in disciplinary action and bad PR.

But going after "extreme right-wingers" is always PR gold.

Alexis said...

I regard this particular scenario as improbable because it presumes that the principal threat to Danish independence comes from Muslim infiltration of Denmark. I do not think this is the case. Instead, I have long suspected that the principal reason for the Danish cartoon controversy wasn't about creating a Danish civil war at all, but about inciting an all-out invasion of Denmark by Muslims from surrounding countries.

Imagine if tens of thousands of Muslims from Norway, Sweden, Germany, France, the Netherlands, Belgium, Britain, Spain, and Italy all converged on Denmark (or some other small European country). They would come under the pretense of a music festival or (more likely) a political demonstration. A large enough armed mob could conceivably take over Copenhagen. This may even become a spark for Muslim paramilitary putsches in Berlin, Brussels, and Luxembourg.

The European Union's policy of open borders within its interior, combined with the modern technology of the flash mob, effectively leaves small European states vulnerable to coups from outside forces.

Paardestaart said...

Wow! Just "Wow"!!

eatyourbeans said...

What is the mood inside the barracks of the European armies?

The Poster Formerly Known as Gordon said...

An interesting dystopian fantasy.

It brings to mind attitudes in the U.S. toward Asians from the 1930's through the end of World War II and into the 1950's. An interesting relic of this era is Robert Heinlein's novel "The Day After Tomorrow," or "Sixth Column," described in this Wikipedia entry: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sixth_Column.

It is a reminder that just about everything that is being said about Muslims today was said about Asians, particularly Japanese and Chinese, during the days of the "yellow peril" and World War II.

All that has obviously turned out to be a bunch of balderdash. We'll see if we can say the same about Islam in 50 years.

KG said...

"It is a reminder that just about everything that is being said about Muslims today was said about Asians, particularly Japanese and Chinese, during the days of the "yellow peril" and World War II."
Which is utterly irrelevant. And we won't be in any position to "say the same about Islam in 50 years" because by then the whole world (excepting perhaps China) will be part of Islam.
The Japanese and Chinese were not busy colonising the West with their dimmest and most violent, the West was not under pressure to change or abandon its culture, the West was not supporting these people with welfare payments.
We don't have fifty years, Gordon.

Dan Bostan said...

Possible, possible.
And the EUsocialists are not doing anything to solve the problem.
Aux contrere....
God, help us all!

AngleofRepose said...

This is gonna seem off-topic but bear with me -

I was doing some more research on the evil one, Dewinter, when I came across this post entitled "Declaration of War in Belgium". Here's the juicy part:

Anyway I am looking forward to the outcome of this war in Belgium, cause Belgium is one of two countries in Europe that legitimately acknowledged Islam as a Religion (the other is Spain) which gave the Muslims the same rights the others religions have, which means that these war will be fierce and won't be easy to win for Filip Dewinter.

It was written in 2005 but I think it's relevant to this discussion.

(I'm thinkin Dewinter should watch his back).

Redneck Texan said...

Excellent Post!!

1389 said...

CJ at Leftist Green Footballs calls people crazy and bans them for suggesting that such a scenario as this might happen. Should we accuse CJ of being crazy for denying that it could happen? Or is CJ lying deliberately, to discourage effective action until it is too late?

idomeneo said...

i do think the possible events described above could be a catilist for a future european civil war however i do not think the EU or US would sit by and watch the events unfold. there would be troops sent in against the militias and the muslims would have reinforcements. The EU and US biggest enemies are their indigenous peoples and to atack the muslims is attacking them. To take back the west from the ills of Islam would require the weakening of the the western governments and attaining the loyalty of the armed forces.
P.S. Great post el ingles.

PRCalDude said...

2) You could arm quite a few people with shotguns, and handguns can be had illegally if you know the right people (or know people who know the right people), but military-style rifles etc, while not impossible, are very, very, VERY hard to come by in bulk. So unless the government/police turn a blind eye to it, Im dismissing the growth of a militia like the one mentioned.

Or you can make them pretty easily.

1389 said...

An actual worst-case scenario would involve many wars like this breaking out all over the world, with some of them involving nuclear or thermonuclear detonations. Such are the consequences of wishful thinking, misplaced trust, appeasement, cowardice, and sedition.

DP111 said...

This article appeared on SIOE

http://sioe.wordpress.com/2007/11/18/a-look-into-the-future/#comments

An interesting hypothetical situation posed by this article, which could well arise in the future as a consequence of the deliberate Balkanisation of Europe, by the politicians of Europe, for no other end then to stay in power using the immigrant vote. In a minor way it is already taking place in France – nogo areas for the police and the police are being shot at.

There are two possible scenarios that I can envisage, if the hypothetical “Danes” actually rebelled violently against the prevailing Eurabia policy.

Case 1.

In the context that such a situation will come about in the future, Denmark, as a nation would not exist anymore. It would simply be a region in the greater European nation state of the EU. The EU Reform/Constitutional treaty implicitly negates the nation state. The EU, in the fullness of time, will have EU wide police and security forces. It will also have a full-fledged EU defence force. These forces are in the process of being constructed.

If and when the “Danes” rebelled, they would then not be confronted by a Danish defence force, which would naturally be sympathetic to the rebels, but by a far more powerful and unsympathetic EU force, manned and officered by either British, French or German personnel. That would be natural, as they are the largest regions of the EU. Moreover, they will be get their instructions from Brussels, from a group of bureaucrats whose writ could not be challenged anywhere.

In the meantime, the MSM media of the EU, such as the pro-Islamic BBC, will paint the rebel “Danes” as so many far-Right Nazis of the worst sort, in much the same way they did to the Serbs. The Serbs were fighting for their native land, as a consequence of the “Balkanisation” i.e., islamisation of the Balkans by the Turks. The result could be, that the rebel Danes would be bombed from the air by a EU air force, or even a NATO air force led by the USA. The rebels would stand no chance, either in the military sense or in the public domain, as their case would never be heard by anyone, just as happened to the Serbs.

Case 2.

The rebellion of the Danes struck a chord throughout Europe. The result was not just a rebellion in Denmark but Europe wide. The Islamic nations reacted violently to such events, and this resulted in the European defence force to seize various parts of the ME. They were assisted in this by the USA, which by this time was getting concerned by the large Muslim population in America, and its threat to the constitutional arrangements of the USA. Russia, China and India, all large and powerful countries, each concerned about the threat from Islam, followed suit. With such a huge change in the international order, the UN would fall, just as the League of Nations did prior to WWII.

The result – many Muslim countries are occupied in part by non-Muslim countries. The non-Muslim forces have total control of the airspace over Muslim countries. Repatriation of Muslims from Europe, America, Russia and China, could now take place without hindrance. Russia and China are no strangers to forcible repatriation of recalcitrant populations.
As part of the invasion, the oil fields are seized as a first step, and held till outstanding matters are settled i.e., a new world order is established.

Zeke said...

KG wrote: "And we won't be in any position to "say the same about Islam in 50 years" because by then the whole world (excepting perhaps China) will be part of Islam."

I seriously doubt that.

In the USA Muslims are 0.6% of the population. They might be able to mess up Dearborn, but that's about it.

This, I believe, was the thesis of Mark Steyn's "America Alone".

We have our own problems but being overwhelmed by Islam is certainly not one of them!

Homophobic Horse said...

Would people stop hammering the "oil war" thesis.

The Poster Formerly Known as Gordon said...

kg: Actually, Japan did its best to colonize the rest of the world, perhaps not with its dimmest, but certainly with some of its most violent.

The same language used to describe Muslims, unassimilable, subservient to the motherland, importers of alien culture, fundamentally untrustworthy, were used to describe Japanese-Americans in the 1930's and 1940's leading to the internment, and being disproved by the bravery of the Nisei divisions on the Italian battlefront.

In that situation, it turned out to be wrong, yes, after the complete subjugation of Japan, but wrong nonetheless.

I'm not suggesting that fear of Islam and Muslims is wrong, I'm just suggesting that we move cautiously before declaring an irredeemable, fundamental war of civilizations.

Interestingly, the "yellow peril" phenomenon got a new life in the 1980's as the Japanese were buying up land in the U.S. and supposedly threatening to make us all economic vassals. The height of this fear came with Michael Crichton's novel "Rising Sun," written just about the time the Japanese economy went into a fifteen year tank. So the "yellow peril" seems to have disappeared for now. It will probably reappear if and when China really starts flexing its new economic muscles.

But enough of my meandering! Amidst El Ingles' dystopian adventure there is at least a kernel of truth that bears watching - the problem of Islamic immigrants to Europe.

Zeke said...

I doubt this thesis, in a lot of ways.

First off I doubt that the government would grant semi-autonomy. I'm sure some lefties would like that idea but I don't see it flying. It is the classic "over-reach".

Secondly, I don't think that Danes would ever form up militias. (I am far from an expert on Danes, to be sure.) From what I've seen in Europe there is little of the citizen/soldier culture of the USA.

Someone here, in response to another posting of mine, said the Army still has far more weaspons that civilians in the USA. Well they may have bigger ones, but they don't have more. There are more guns than citizens in the USA, and those who like military rifles tend to have a few.

Every state has a national guard, which is the modern militia. People are used to training one weekend a month with people who live with them. Lately they are used to getting deployed to Iraq for six months at a time, too.

So, here, in the USA there are lots of citizen soldiers who could, possibly, at least cause a lot of trouble.

But Europe is mostly disarmed and non-military. Look at the French riots. A few shotguns put into play. In ALL major US riots lots and lots of people are shot. Shot by the National Guard, shot be store owners, shot by looters, shot by grandmas.

If we ever had three weeks of riots in 10 cities, as France did, the dead would number in the hundreds or thousands, not the low single digits.

So I think out and out war in Europe is unlikely in the extreme. I think the Islamic invasion will continue, but will cool, and the eventual Eurabia will be some soft compromise many people on this board will hate, but most Euros will consider reasonable.

Any "right wing neo-Nazis" trying to do anything to over will be dealt with harshly by the leftist power structure, which is NOT giving up their control no matter how many Muslims move into the neigborhood.

SwampWoman said...

First off I doubt that the government would grant semi-autonomy. I'm sure some lefties would like that idea but I don't see it flying. It is the classic "over-reach".

Aren't there "immigrant" areas in Europe where the government fears to tread? What is that but semi-autonomy?

Charlemagne said...

Zeke - I agree that many Euros may be willing to sell their country, souls, and culture for a peaceful coexistence but Islam won't tolerate such a compromise. Islam by its very nature seeks to dominate so I don't agree that a soft compromise will be possible. Time will tell.

Sodra Djavul said...

Very interesting read.

However, the poster who seemed to think the U.S. would jump in on the side of the Muslims against the native Danes is incorrect.

Perhaps if the U.S. were actually represented by the Lunatics Googling "Fascist" led by Charles Johnson. But it's not.

I think secretly many of us in the States look back at Europe with a form of jaded sibling rivalry. We beat up on the "snotty" French and "dentistry-challenged" Brits in times of peace because we like drama. But I guarantee that convincing at least 50% of this country to side with third world implants against their ancestral cousins could lead to civil disturbances in this country that would make the Civil Rights movement of the '60s look like a random Guy Fawkes demonstration at the White House.

- Sodra

For the record, Charles Johnson does not speak for the American people, the conservative movement, or for me. The unholy trinity of Northerners known as Sharmuta, Render, and Highrise at his site responsible for half his comment content are just as anathema to me as Ron Paul. Please do not lump me as a proud transplanted Southerner in with those whackos.

SwampWoman said...

I think secretly many of us in the States look back at Europe with a form of jaded sibling rivalry.

Hmmm. I look on it mostly as an object lesson on the result of the government having all of the rights and the citizens having none. No sibling rivalry here.

whiskey_199 said...

A couple of things.

AK-47s are manufactured by Russia, Bulgaria, Romania, Hungary, and Poland. Profits from smuggled weapons guarantee their existence in Western Europe. Most likely in criminal-jihadist networks.

For example, Hezbollah is quite active in the US in cigarette tax smuggling (avoiding the tax) and exporting the profits back to the organization.

Jihadist networks are often also overtly criminal and thus made up of hard boys who know how to employ violence.

Would most European governments simply grant autonomy? Of course, this has been done already in Northern Ireland, Basque country, Sardinia, Corsica, etc. Already defacto autonomy exists and most Muslim neighborhoods are no-go zones for the State.

Next, the conflict between the ordinary person, the Islamists, and the "nobility" that runs the States. Col Peters is probably right IMHO that Europeans will inevitably turn to far-right parties because they are the only ones that offer a state run for THEIR benefit instead well, replacement by a Muslim people, run by a thin veneer of European nobility.

Second, the withering of the State has come about because the US provides for European defense. Absent that, you'll see overt territory grabs by North African nations filled with poor people who's problems can be solved by annexing the neighbors across the Med. And perhaps further.

Against that you'll see IMHO an offering, a bargain, of a "new State" along the lines of Napoleon-Mussolini-Stalin-Hitler. One that replaces the existing nobility with new men made into "nobility" who have enemies to fight in order to hold onto to their holdings.

Their dukedoms may be assistant minister of logistics in the Army Dept. instead of a landed estate, but the principal is the same. Corresponding to the Islamists and small number of autonomer are the large group of young men, mostly blue collar, who are not among the few winners (rich men's sons) who go to University and have a slot in the Ministry or connected company already waiting for them, complete with many girlfriends and such.

Unconnected young men, with no future, and nothing to tie them to ordinary middle class life, are dangerous.

Lastly, Europeans are from historically mostly violent societies. Savate was created to enable Frenchmen to fight off the constant thuggery prevalent in the 19th Century. Englishmen routinely carried revolvers in their pockets. There were even ladies models. Personal up-close-personal violence marked most of the 19th Century and provided the impetus for much of the revolutionary movements as people thought the sovereign ought to provide order and law in that order. Always looking for a better "King" whoever he might be.

I would suggest the popularity of soccer clubs, self-defense clubs, various martial arts among Europeans is not for mere sport, but protection. Most Europeans are "sunk" and can't leave due to low capital, skills, and language ability.

This pretty much guarantees a conflict over who will run things (and get the government money, particularly in a downturn). Either the nobility+Islamists or the people.

Just as easily another "Napoleon" could realize his own ability to advance, in service of the people and the nation, by declaring Martial Law. To save both. It would certainly not be the first time.

Paardestaart said...

there is at least a kernel of truth that bears watching - the problem of Islamic immigrants to Europe

Well, an even bigger problem is the fact that in two year time the constituing nations of the old Europe will have ceased to exist, and the peoples of Europe won't be dealing with their own government and police, but will be up against Europol, as more people here already said.
The islamization of Europe is just the flipside of the annulment of democracy.
We are being rendered impotent.
That's why we have no say in the matter.

Cabinboy said...

By year's end, there will be a full series on basic rifle marksmanship at our site:

http://westernrifleshooters.blogspot.com

In the meantime, there are lots of practical shooting and other resources in the left margin.

One brief observation re arms and Europeans: given the conflicts of the 20th century across much of the continent, it is very difficult for me to believe that all of the pistols, rifles, submachine guns, machine guns, grenades, bazookas/panzerfausts, etc. plus associated ammunition during two protracted full-scale wars were all retrieved by the governing powers.

To the Counterjihad!

Sodra Djavul said...

Hmmm. I look on it mostly as an object lesson on the result of the government having all of the rights and the citizens having none. No sibling rivalry here.


I agree that the willingness of Europeans to submit themselves to the tyranny of the political elites in their countries is most definitely an object lesson.

But that does not encompass the entirety of my position on the subject. If it did, I would not be so keenly interested in the future of Europe, as evidenced by my interest in this blog.

I would always consider an Australian, or a Dane, or even a Frenchman more of my kinsman than I would a Saudi, an Egyptian, or a Pakistani.

Europe will not go silently into the night as an ambivalent America looks on as long as some Europeans are willing to fight.

- Sodra

Simon de Montfort said...

"Gordon" manages to have been an annoying troll at LGF and is now doing the same here: the mentality is the same fear & loathing of conservative with the same pursuit of a juvenile leftist aganda

...and that was a Great Read

Birkebeinr said...

Very interesting text!

This is a worst case scenario.
I can´t imagine the islamic colonization of the west will come to this. If it would, civil war is the wrong label.

However, the recent events in Paris shows us that the "youth" don´t shy away from using guns against the police.

The home guard in my country have for sometime already used scenarios like this in their training. I know for a fact that the french army have rebuildt APC to be more suitable for urban warfare.

When it come to fighting spirit, several of my friends are waiting in line so to speak for another tour in Isaf.
Fighting moral is very high especially after the recent sucsessful operations in northern Afganistan. Where the swedish buildt CV90 got babtism of fire among other things.


The warrior caste of nortern europe is not idle in the war against terror. In northern Afganistan NATO forces annhilated Taliban`s atempt to get a foothold. In the south seasoned Pashtun fighers have learned to fear Danish panser. Support for our troops is also rising nationwide. And believe it our not, our socialist government is sending more troops and air support.

I know my fellow scandinavians to be just as patriotic as the americans and it is myth that europeans don`t have private guns. National shooting convention (Landskytterstevne) is a popular event. There are many shooting ranges and in rural areas almost everyone is a member of a shooting team (skytterlag).

In my country the 3 world colonist occupy unfavoreable strategic positions in the outskirts of the main city. I would´nt protest if the "youth" would go berserk and demolish Corbusier style buildings there.

This war are beeing fought by rape, violence and petty crimes.
I think the best way to fight back is to sharpen up our laws, highten penalties, build more prisons and lower the welfare checks.
And I agree strongly with Fjordman: Contain the muslim world.

My 2 cents

SwampWoman said...

This war are beeing fought by rape, violence and petty crimes.
I think the best way to fight back is to sharpen up our laws, highten penalties, build more prisons and lower the welfare checks.


Exactly right. Removing the enticement to emigrate to receive welfare payments seems like such an obvious thing to do.

Jan Sobieski said...

Excellent read. Entertaining and quite plausible from what I've read of the situation. Are Danes really that well armed?

Birkebeinr said...

Quite right. Say, a 3 world immigrant with wife and three small children would get paid somthing like 20 - 25 k nok (4000 usd) every month. I kid you not! My government takes about half of my income in taxes. This money goes to the abomination called the welfare state. Survival of the unfittest.

But I don´t belive we are on the eve of destruction

yet

PRCalDude said...

Cabinboy said...
By year's end, there will be a full series on basic rifle marksmanship at our site:

http://westernrifleshooters.blogspot.com

In the meantime, there are lots of practical shooting and other resources in the left margin.



It occured to me that it might be possible to come up with a basic, expedient, open-source, pump-action shotgun design. Shotguns have pretty low barrel pressure, which should make them pretty safe to build out of pipe fittings. I think the receiver could probably be built pretty simply as well, by bolting together cut-out pieces of sheet metal. Would anyone be interested in contributing to the design of such a thing for our European friends? It's really the ultimate CQB weapon.

Zeke said...

America. Land of the free. And armed. Have a look!

A nation of Riflemen

Rifles in the USA

More Guns

Rifles for Free Men

Russian Surplus USA

Civilian owned Weapons

Machine Guns USA

American Guns

Citizen Collection

tommy guns

Pastrami said...

I'd suggest starting with some of the titles re homemade and improvised weapons at

http://deltapress.com/catalog

and

http://paladin-press.com

Rosenzweig said...

Reading this fiction by El Inglés I got the same feeling as when I read lately Fjordman quoting Robert Spencer who quotes “Rachel,” a white American student, who spoke these words to American Indian professor Dr. David Yeagley in 2001: “Look, Dr. Yeagley, I don’t see anything about my culture to be proud of. It’s all nothing. My race is just nothing.... Look at your culture. Look at American Indian tradition. Now I think that’s really great. You have something to be proud of. My culture is nothing.”

As Yeagley observed, “The Cheyenne people have a saying: A nation is never conquered until the hearts of its women are on the ground… When Rachel denounced her people, she did it with the serene self-confidence of a High Priestess reciting a liturgy. She said it without fear of criticism or censure. And she received none. The other students listened in silence, their eyes moving timidly back and forth between me and Rachel, as if unsure which of us constituted a higher authority… Who had conquered Rachel’s people? What had led her to disrespect them? Why did she behave like a woman of a defeated tribe?”

Both statements reminded me of an article by Theodore Dalrymple: "The Paradoxes of Cultural Confidence:
Is Western culture in decline?"
Regarding the Jihadis he writes: "excesses of certainty often attempt, only half-successfully, to conceal severe doubts and to head off the possibility of radical and devastating criticism...there are those who act as if they had no doubts and as if doubts could be expunged by action. They are like those people, who are not few, who mistake vehemence of expression for depth of conviction." And now it comes: "Fortunately for us, then, what appears like cultural confidence is in fact its opposite. Could it also be, then, that our seeming doubts about our own societies are really the opposite, a secret confidence that they are so strong that they are invulnerable? Certainly, I don’t think anyone believes that our societies are in imminent danger, in the sense of being forced to replace themselves by something very different from what they presently are, by anything that that their enemies might do. Cultural relativists do not expect to wake up the following day and find that their right of free expression has been abrogated and the laws overthrown. And, ultimately, I think they are right to be confident: in my opinion, a lot of their doubts about and criticism of western society, corrosive as they might be, are actually a form of exhibitionist breast-beating; they don’t really mean it, any more than Marie Antoinette really wanted to be a shepherdess.
My view, then, is that the current challenge to our societies from Islamism is weak, indeed laughably weak, although in the short-term Islamism is capable of causing a lot of mayhem."

When I read szenarios like that by El Inglés and most of the comments here, I need to ask: Do you have more cultural confidence than Rachel, who acted like she acted only because she knew secretly that she belonged not to a defeated tribe but can play as if and act out any of her new age fantasies.

eatyourbeans said...

Look a few hundred miles to the East of Denmark and you see a country largely European. It has very popular nationalistic government, which is taking a keen interest in inculcating in their young patriotism, training them in the military skills and getting them to make babies. Most of us here are in favor of all three.

So to put the question on the table for discussion, is Russia at the very least a role model or even be Europe's rescuer?

Zeke said...

Russia is neither a role model nor a rescuer for Europe.

The nation to the east more worth watching is Poland, not Russia. Poland is the only European nation that still has population growth not due to immigration.

It is also still a religious nation, not wholely lost to atheism and consumerism.

Russia has a tough talking guy in charge, but he is in charge of a morgue.

It has the shortest life expectancy (about 47 for Russian men)- and lowest fertility rate of any Western nation. Russia is in terminal decline and special "pregnancy holidays" are unlikely to turn it around.

Add in the massive alcholism, the corrupt politics, the HIV epidemic, and no, there is nothing there to emmulate. Certainly not for the Scandanavian countries, no matter what their problems are.

It seems certain that much of Russia will revert to control of either the predominantly Muslim tribes that live there, or China directly.

Mr. Smarterthanyou said...

"...Europe will not go silently into the night as an ambivalent America looks on as long as some Europeans are willing to fight.

- Sodra"

"Ambivalent"? Are you nuts? Our left may be, but please don't portray us as the ones on the sidelines. European governments have been belly-up to the intifada for a while now, and they are pushing us to join suite.

Ed Mahmoud said...

I think you'd rather not go the civil war route, and you don't know on whose side the EU might jump in on.


The immediate step, and the sooner, the better, stop all immigration from Muslim countries. Stop all forms of welfare for non-citizens, which would encourage the worst slackers, most prone to have enough time to become militant, to leave. Thoroughly patrol all areas of the country, deport all criminal non-citizens, and have lengthy jail sentences for all violent criminals, whether Muslim or native ethnic Europeans.


It doesn't guarantee there might not be some Muslim terrorism, but Muslims seem to react to weakness and fear. Hang tough, and they grow discouraged.



Now, I have no idea if the member states of the EU would ever do that.


I'm hoping Sarkozy is quite firm in squashing the Muslim riots in Paris, and responds to any armed protestors with deadly force.

Muslims respect strength, and despise the dhimmis who act fearfully.

Rosenzweig said...

I doubt, that you can call Russia largely european. The Bolschewiki successfully prevented this. And it will take Russia still a long, long time to recover from this nightmare. The current wealth and power of Russia is due to the resources of its earth not its people. As allready mentioned, Russia is dying faster than almost every other people. You cannot get people by force to make more babies. Demographics do not work that way. There seem to be at least two factors related closely to demographics. Alphabetisation and secularism. The more primitive a society is, the more fertile. That is the reason for the baby boom in Islam. But now Iran has one of the lowest fertiliy rates. Algeria too. With a few exeptions (Palestine) the fertilty rates in the muslim world are declining. Later and not so drastically as in the west, but still declining. Here comes the issue of secularism in.But the people we have to deal with are allready born. The reason why appeasement parties still attract a lot of votes is not because of fear but because the majority of people is still not feeling the danger. Yes, the "youths" in France may be revolting. But one mile from where they are torching cars you can have a meal in a high class restaurant and feel completely save. Yes, there are 276 no go areas in France but I come from Hamburg and there have been several quarters in this city where I did not dare to go, long before they where taken over by Turks and Arabs. When I was 20 years ago in New York and went to Harlem, my friends in Manhattan looked at me as an alien. They were born in New York but never set a foot into Harlem. But the day will come, when they get out of their quarters and believe me you will see then former multiculti people torching mosques. Yes, and like at the gates of Vienna the Polish will be another time instrumental in defeating the Jihad. And hopefully we will be thankfull for it, this time. I write this as a german. But the most important force for the final humilation of Islam is Israel. If you really want to fight the Jihad now, go to Israel.

Michiel said...

Awesome piece. Replace some names and dates, and it could be Holland as well. Up there, apart from a few farmers and some criminals, we don't have guns. Those who have served in the army, might be able to tell the left side from the right side of an AK, but the rest hasn't a clue.

El said...

hi everyone,

thanks to everyone who commented so far. im busy oppressing mexican villagers out amongst the tumbleweeds at the moment, but will be stopping for tea and biscuits in a little while and hope to write more then.

one quick query about EUROGENDFOR, or whatever its called: according to my preliminary research, it currently has 800 actual police personnel under its command. this is being expanded to 1.5 million? this century? the existence of such a force would change things a great deal, but surely there is some mistake here. can anyone clarify the likely growth of this force over time? it is scarcely credible that this is the final nail in our collective european coffin. it currently has members from only five countries: france, italy, spain, portugal, and the netherlands. in linguistic terms alone, it is hard to see how it could function in the UK, in denmark, in germany, and so on and so forth.

anyway, i would appreciate any insights on it.

kepiblanc said...

While there's certainly no shortage of military firearms in Denmark, a new development may indicate that they may not be needed at all. Quite a few Muslims in the latest batch (interpreters and aides to the Danish Army in Iraq) now want to go back to "some Muslim country, i.e. Egypt or Saudi Arabia". Why? - Well, the "Danes are unfriendly and don't care for us. Besides, the wheather is horrible".
So true....

ProFlandria said...

El Ingles,

I can't for the life of me remember where I got the 1.5 million reference for EUROGENDFOR. Let me take a stab at it tomorrow...

ln said...

Today I sent an eMail to a danish futurologist named Klaus Æ. Mogensen.
http://hjem.get2net.dk/Klaudius/
http://www.kursuslex.dk/kfvis.asp?id=359
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Dear Mr Mogensen,

I came home a few minutes to 20 PM today, turned on the radio which was tuned in to Danmark's Radio P1 and happend to hear the last paragraphs of your diskussion about possible scenarious for the future of Europa or the world in general (?). I am writing to you from Lund, Sweden and less than one hour ago I did not know about your existence!
I tried in wain to localize you on www.dr.dk, but this site is afflicted with massive stupidity, so unless you do know beforehand in DETAILS what you are looking for you will never ever find what you are looking for. Google, however, was most helpful. Being a professional futurologist and an author writing in English and interested in science fiction as you are, I most humbly would like to suggest a small but as I hope very intersting task to you, that links up to what you were discussing in the 'Danish Radio' program today.

On the eminent american blog: 'Gates of Vienna' (1), which is showing a great interest in what is happening in Denmark, Scandinavia and Europe, there was yesterday 2007-11-28 at 17:48:00 CET published a very interesting essay (2) by the guest author "El Inglés" called "The Danish Civil War — Prologue and Early Stages" followed by an in deph discussion and analysis by the author. Som 40 commentors have till now written interesting posts pro et contra.

The essay is long, it is well written, it is interesting and very much worth reading by anybody concerned about what 'will be' in the coming half century.
May I suggest that you Mr Mogensen read the essay? May I even suggest that you, being an expert in the field, leave a comment?

I think it would be imensely valuable if a professional shared his knowledge and how he looks at the present circumstances with us ordinary but concerned people. Maybe you have a brighter view of the impending future than "El Inglés".

(1) http://gatesofvienna.blogspot.com

(2) http://gatesofvienna.blogspot.com/2007/11/danish-civil-war.html
- - - - -

Very truly yours,

(ln)

eatyourbeans said...

Zeke, Rosenzweig,

Thanks for your answers to my questions about Russia.

I should have put my question more carefully. Yes, of course, Russia is a basketcase, although a rich one. But we see its government is attempting to mend the country, and we can see how. The reinstitution of the Orthodox Church, healing the national memory by the fusing of both Imperial and Soviet symbols, the patriotic indoctrination of the young. Then, too, we have the "Love Camps" where the young Putinista make babies, which the Western press has snickered at.

So I see one government, and only one, that recognizes the danger to the nation and is doing something about it. So, rephrasing my question, do we agree with what the Putin's government is attempting to do, the means it has chosen, and in these respects is it a role model?

The Poster Formerly Known as Gordon said...

Simon De Montfort: I will try to avoid throwing troll-like insults at people.

In return, you should try to actually argue with me, rather than dismiss me as a troll.

When someone provided cogent and compelling argument to me at LGF I was known to acknowledge and change my viewpoint. The same would apply here.

I won't throw insults around on this site because it is much more serious than the often cartoonish "Muslims Bad, Four Legs Good," atmosphere at LGF.

But if you're going to just call be a troll when I'm not one, I might have to make an exception!

Cabinboy said...

EUROGENDFOR:

www.eorogendfor.eu

see also:

http://englandexpects.blogspot.com/2007/10/what-would-eu-do-with-one-of-these.html

Frans Groenendijk said...

Very interesting read. Both fiction and analysis.
I am a little less pessimistic about the possibilities of this scenario actually starting to become reality. If the scenario should become reality however I am less optimistic about the outcome.
Some have already mentioned the EU-elite.
This week in my own country a group of inhabitants of the city of Voorburg protested against the plan that the ex-muslim Ehsan Jami who has been threatened and attacked, would be housed in their neighborhood in a house with some security measures... They thought their own security was at risk in that way. Exactly the same way the great Ayaan Hirsi Ali was chased out of this country. Horrible. Quite a number of my fellowcountrymen (and women!) fill me with disgust.

I assume that because of this story and post there will be legal and illegal actions to get GatesofVienna down.
It should be actively encouraged that both this story and post are publicised on more sites. I for myself made a kind of safety copy on a site that is asleep at this moment.

El said...

hi everyone,

this will probably be out of date by the time i post it, but lack of internet access at home makes it difficult to type a substantial response in real time, as it were.

there have been an awful lot of responses to the essay so far. let me state at the outset that i acknowledge that it is implausible in some respects. striving for maximum plausibility would have greatly increased the effort involved in writing it, while achieving only limited benefits. after all, any similar scenario would be considered implausible in certain ways by at least some readers.

i will write my impressions on the comments down as they occur to me. forgive the length, but it is more natural to me to write in one long burst than in dribs and drabs.

1) i think it is important to point out that the military-issue rifles used by the militia in the essay are a detail, not a make-or-break issue. i cannot claim to be an authority on firearms of any sort, but i have been reading some jeff cooper recently (highly recommended), and he is of the opinion that high-capacity, semi-automatic fire is of limited utility except in certain circumstances. the impression i get from what i have read of him so far is that the strengths of the rifle are such that a decent-quality bolt-action hunting rifle provides pretty much everything one would need from a rifle unless one happened to be refighting the battle of okinawa and digging the japanese out of their bunkers.

2) i submit that large-scale intervention in a european country, either by an EU force or by the americans, is simply not going to happen. the EU has so far failed miserably to put together the European Rapid Response Force, or whatever it was going to be called. bear in mind also that multilateral 'peacekeeping' forces, with european or non-european contingents, usually operate under crippling rules of engagement designed to minimize the possibility of anything unpleasant happening (like fighting). the unwillingness of contributing governments to take casualties in someone else's conflict seems to override other factors. the dismal record of UN peacekeepers is quite telling in this regard. i am open to being corrected on this if there is something about EUROGENDFOR that i don't know, but i remain unconvinced by the claims that the EU will enforce its will through force. the EU is the wizard of oz, pretty impressive as long as you don't look behind the curtain.

as for the americans, i simply cannot believe that US public opinion would support US soldiers/marines landing in sweden to start shooting swedes who pulled nasty faces at muslims. look at the difficulty involved in maintaining support for the war in iraq, a country which the US had been at war with a mere 12 years earlier, and which had repeatedly failed to live up to the terms of the ceasefire signed at the end of said conflict (and run by saddam hussein, no less). or the reluctance to send ground troops into serbia in 1999. or the withdrawal from somalia after the battle of mogadishu. admittedly, these latter two happened under clinton and things might have been different under a different president. however, despite the rhetoric of the lizardoid army of late, the chances of america, a country with more than its fair share of animosity towards the religion of peace, invading and occupying any part of the ancestral homelands of a majority of its population are nil, i think. unless ralph peters becomes president, in which case he will invade europe and ethnically cleanse it of the europeans he is so terribly fond of.

3) though superficially plausible up to a point, i think the notion that fear of islam may yet turn out to be the equivalent of the yellow peril of the 30s is ill-judged (i am more familiar with the japanese side of things than the chinese). as i understand it, much of the opposition to japanese immigration to california in the 20s and 30s came from the agricultural industry, where american farmers were starting to find themselves outcompeted by japanese who had already arrived. nor am i aware of any examples of any type of political subversion carried out by japanese immigrants, and their commitment to the US was indeed made clear, as already pointed out, by the bravery they showed when drafted into the army by a US military struggling to find the manpower it needed during the late stages of the war. and this after being interned!

compare this with the muslim case. far from being involved in simple political subversion, muslims have bombed, killed, threatened, demanded every type of special consideration, made utterly disproportionate contributions to prison populations, and, in many cases, openly declared their desire to overthrow the governments of their new countries and replace them with shari'a law. far from fearing their work ethic, we complain about their sense of entitlement and disproportionate reliance on the welfare state. if there is an equivalent to the hardworking japanese farmer in europe today, it is the conscientious polish plumber, maligned for the hideous crime of being punctual and competent, not the somali drug-dealer or the pakistani welfare cheat.

how bad things will get with islam is a matter of conjecture, but i think it is already clear that we are not just replacing the yellow peril with a brown peril (forgive the hideous phrase). even the japan-bashing of the 80s was based on economic concerns, whereas economic incompetence islam's only redeeming feature. far from muslims 'just settling in,' the situation with respect to islam is rapidly deteriorating. is it not?

4) guns, guns, guns. they just keep coming up, don't they? if you live in a country where you can get them, get them. get lots. learn to shoot them. learn to clean them. buy some ammo. then buy some more. keep it in a big box with the word 'ammo' written on it in red felt-tip. buy a telescopic sight for your rifle. read about guns. shoot at things with guns. stroke guns. sleep with one under your pillow. talk to them.

if you don't live in a country where you can do these things (like the UK), go to a country where you can and learn. shoot whatever you can (guns that is, not people). get a feel for shooting, so a gun won't feel strange in your hand should you ever need to pick one up in anger or fear. make contacts. it's a big world, and there are lots of places to shoot in it. let's help each other out in this respect. a decent rifle, 200 rounds, and a handgun on the hip for the up-close-and-personal, and that rampaging gang of 'youths' 100 yards down the road is going to have to make some really tough decisions right then and there, even if it outnumbers you 50-to-1. as for the availability issue, guns are, at the end of the day, simple, non-electronically active items without a chemical signature. there is no way they will not be available if the situation really starts to deteriorate. how could you keep them out? especially in mainland europe, with the open borders of the EU.

_____

that is enough for now. unless the analysis of islam in my essay is wrong, we iz lookin' at shootin', folks. maybe sooner, maybe later. but eventually. i firmly believe that anyone involved in thinking about these issues owes it to themself to figure out which end of the gun the bullet comes out of before it all kicks off. and that includes the ladies.

anyway, i have to go and stride moodily through the cactii whilst shooting my sixshooter at rustlers.

Pastrami said...

Thanks for the essay.

Folks bound for the US and interested in a target shooting get-together should leave a comment to that effect on this blog (if the owners don't object). Suggest you also make inquiry over at http://gunthing.com and http://westernriflwshooters.blogspot.com.

You'll be happily surprised, I think, at how friendly we heathen Americanskis are...

Pastrami said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Pastrami said...

Make that

http://westernrifleshooters.blogspot.com

Folks interested in more of Colonel Jeff Cooper (and anyone facing a gunfight ought to be so interested) can go here:

http://myweb.cebridge.net/mkeithr/Jeff/

Colonel Cooper was a civilized man, and is largely responsible for the plethora of American practical firearms schools that exist today.

I'd bet he would like the idea of brave Europeans, facing annihilation from a manaical horde, learning about mindset and skillset from his writings....

Muslims Against Sharia said...

Many people talk about the need to reform Islam. Now you can stop talking and start helping.

With the help of our readers we went through the Koran and removed every verse that we believe did not come from Allah, the Most Merciful, the Most Compassionate. However, it is possible that we missed something, and we could use your help. If you find verses in the reformed version of the Koran that promote violence, divisiveness, religious or gender superiority, bigotry, or discrimination, please let us know the number of the verse and the reason why it should be removed. Please email your suggestions to koran-AT-reformislam.org.

When we finish editing process, we would like to publish Reform Koran in as many languages as possible. If you could help with translation or distribution of the Reform Koran, please email us at koran-AT-reformislam.org. If you could provide financial support, please visit our support page.

In Memoriam of Aqsa Parvez.

http://www.reformislam.org/reform.php

Frans Groenendijk said...

@Muslims against Sharia.
Interesting project. As kind of a test I incidentally started to do exactly what you are doing: take a chapter of the book and get rid of all threats, propaganda for the book and the "messenger" himself, sentences without a clue, things that are rewritten versions of parts of the bible and paragraphs that are most surely only refer to Arabia in the 7th century.
My impression based on my experience until now: the reformed koran will be a rather thin book.

Muslims Against Sharia said...

"My impression based on my experience until now: the reformed koran will be a rather thin book."

Not really. Compare this http://www.reformislam.org/verses.php (20 pages) and this http://www.reformislam.org/koran.php (237 pages)

rerevisionist said...

By the way - the inflation comparison - printing money approx = printing passports - is a very good one. Well done.

rerevisionist said...

Apologies for yet another comment... Can someone think of an economic euqivalent of debasing the legal system? We all know whites are discriminated against, presumably illegally, and absurd organisations like the EHRC permit many racist organisations (including the Board of deputies of British Jews) to exist in blatant contradiction to anti-racist legislation. Is there a Gresham's Law of law? A punchy parallel could be most useful.