Friday, September 29, 2006

The Fruitful Party vs. The Vegetative State

Opinion Journal’s “Best of the Web” linked yesterday to two USA Today articles on the demographics of the Republicans and Democrats. This is the first place I’ve actually seen statistics to back up the theory of the Roe effect:

Republicans control 49 of the 50 [congressional] districts with the highest rates of married people.

Democrats represent all 50 districts that have the highest rates of adults who have never married.

GOP Congress members represent 39.2 million children younger than 18, about 7 million more than Democrats. Republicans average 7,000 more children per district. . . .

Democrats represent 30 districts in which less than half of children live with married parents. Republicans represent none.

These numbers are followed by a hilarious quote, though Opinion Journal dubs it “evenhanded.” Bah —”evenhanded,” my foot. More like talking out of both sides of his mouth:
- - - - - - - - - -
… this evenhanded quote from Prof. Arthur Brooks of Syracuse University: “Both sides are very pro-kids. They just express it in different ways. Republicans are congenial to traditional families, which is clearly the best way for kids to grow up. But there are some kids who don’t have that advantage, and Democrats are very concerned with helping those kids.”

Sure they are. As long as they don’t actually have to bear the children themselves. In this they resemble their transnational European cousins. Like the sovereignty of nations, families with children are a disappearing breed. So to speak. And like the depressing Europeans, the forever single, forever childless make up the socialist base of the Dems:

Abortion is related to the marriage gap too. Abortion is a “single” issue in more ways than one: Every poll we’ve seen shows that unwed people of both sexes are far more pro-abortion than the espoused. This makes perfect sense: Singles, with their slapdash sex lives, are both unlikely to want kids and less likely than married couples to have reliable birth-control rituals. Thus they feel much more acutely the need for abortion as a last resort should they become or make someone pregnant. If you live in a place like New York, you’ll find lots of young adults who say they vote Democratic only because of abortion.

Of course, many of these people eventually get hitched and move to the suburbs, where some become Republicans, either because their views on abortion change or because it recedes in importance to them. (Relatedly, Republicans do better among wealthier voters; and wealth, like marriage, is a status to which many people who do not enjoy it aspire.)

Republicans, then, are outbreeding Democrats and doing better among voters whose personal lives are the most successful. All in all, the party of abortion is an unfruitful thing for the Democrats to be.[emphasis mine]

Unfruitful, with stale, outmoded policies and deep antagonism to any who don’t agree with them. Let’s put it this way — which situation would be more fraught with anxiety: you’re at a party and you’ve just been outed as a conservative in a group of mostly leftists…or, you’re at a party and you’ve just been outed as a leftist in a group of mostly conservatives? In which situation do you think you’d end up with spittle on your tie?

Answer: Someone on our blogroll says on his sidebar that he’s had more problems with coming out of the conservative closet than he ever did declaring his homosexuality:

I’m a guy in my thirties living on a true blue island in a very red state. Formerly an avid liberal back when the center of my personal universe was being “gay,” I gradually grew up and became more conservative throughout the 1990’s calling myself a “libertarian,” only to have a bucket of ice-cold reality thrown on me on 9/11. I realized then that I had another closet to come out of — the conservative one. I’ve lost more friends since opening that closet door than I ever did by coming out as gay. Shattering other people’s perceptions of you is usually a messy business.

I wonder if perhaps conservatives could talk the Dems into letting them into the tent via the “Americans with Disabilities” Act? We certainly do need protection from some of the battier of the Blues.

Tomorrow, the Baron and I will be heading to the Vegetarian Festival in Li’l Kumquat. The Baron will not be wearing his pinstripe suit and I will leave my George Bush campaign button at home — thus ensuring our safety whilst taking pictures of the myriad local “Peace and Justice” (or we’ll kill you) groups who inhabit that very blue little town.

Field report soon.

9 comments:

Wally Ballou said...

Better cover up those bumper stickers, too. You don't want free speech in the form of slashed tires.

moderationist said...

I wonder what the crime statistics are for cities and states where democrats are in power vs. cities and states where republicans are in power???

ZionistYoungster said...

As Mark Steyn said, demography is destiny. And take a look at D. T.'s latest for a poignant (as his art always is) commentary on it all.

ljm said...

I've led a happy life. I've raised dozens of chickens, several dogs and cats, one poor goat, and six children. The children are now raising grandchildren for me! On the rare occasions that real democrats speak to me, they don't seem to like me....

Papa Ray said...

It is apparent that liberals use birth control while the rest of us do not, or at least not as effectively. Maybe it's just the cheap brand of condoms us poor folk are forced to buy.

I have never heard of a Redneck Woman getting sperm from a test tube.

They prefer getting it the old fashioned way.

While, divorce is common place, it seems that the liberals have made it into an art form of Repetition Theater.

While us poor folk... well, we can't afford a divorce.

Papa Ray
West Texas
USA

Kaboom said...

Interesting concept, Dymphna. I can see the inescapable logic of the demographics, except for references to the proposition that unaborted full term foeti who have achieved voting age will vote in the same philosophical direction as their parents.

In my experience, the unaborted foeti tend to be diametrically opposed to the political position of their parents, until such time as the ClueBat finally hits.

This can, and does, take a significant period of time....

Archonix said...

Kaboom, that isn't always the case. My experience has been that those offspring are as likely to agree with their parents as disagree with them. I suppose it largely depends on the environment they were raised in.

Kevin said...

Hey Dymphna, thanks for the link! I think another thing to consider as far as children being more likely to agree with their parents' politics are kids like me. I was raised in a conservative home, took a detour through young adulthood, and finally came back to the values I was raised with. I bet that type of story isn't uncommon.

Dymphna said...

Yeah, kids can and do vary. My youngest, the Baron's Boy, seems to have been born a conservative. When he was a little guy, he developed this strong attachment to George HW Bush -- he even had a poster of him on his wall. And I had to shush him while I was voting because he was campaigning in the firehouse while I was casting my ballot.

The next day, I woke him up as usual. He opened one eye and asked me who'd won the presidency. As gently as I could, I told him HW had lost. He closed his eye(s), tears trickling down his cheeks. When I urged him to get up, he replied, "what's there to get up for."

====

Fast forward to the last election. He's finally old enough to vote, but he's in school so he has to use an absentee ballot. The people manning the voting booths were trying to find a Republican voter who would be willing to serve as an observor that night after the polls closed. They found their Dem observer quite easily. I agreed to show up at the close of the day.

I sat with the other observer as they read the absentee voters' names and there was the Baron's Boy's vote. After certifying the voters (they couldn't read one it was so illegible), they divided the votes into piles. One person went to the trouble of voting for Mickey Mouse.

Of course, we observers couldn't know who voted for what, but I knew which list the Baron's Boy's vote was on...and I was sure he felt avenged for that awful morning all those years ago.

As for my remaining chidren, Lord knows how they voted. We don't discuss politics if I can help it.